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MarketsNew HampshireKeeneAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Keene, NH

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Keene, NH

Cap Rate
3.22%
Median Price
$375K
Rent/Mo
$1,910
1% Rule
0.51%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Keene, NH have appreciated at 2.6% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Keene continues appreciating at 2.6% annually, the current median of $375,000 would reach approximately $426,352 in 5 years — an equity gain of $51,352 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $75,000, that represents a 68% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $60,287, the projected total return is $111,639 — a 149% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Keene is minimal at 0.5%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand. Higher-than-average local incomes ($67,733) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Keene, the 3.22% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.6% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Keene Compares

Keene vs New Hampshire state average and national average across key investment metrics. Keene's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Keene
New Hampshire Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.22%
2.55%
3.81%
Median Price
$375K
$468K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,910
$2,047
$1,524
Property Tax
1.84%
1.84%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.2%
4.2%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.5%/yr
0.5%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Northeast Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Keene, NH
3.2%
$375K
$1,910
1.84%
Wilmington, DE
4.3%
$375K
$1,860
0.56%
Philadelphia, PA
3.5%
$375K
$1,860
1.36%
Lancaster, PA
2.4%
$375K
$1,510
1.35%
Camden, NJ
2.4%
$375K
$1,860
2.28%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Keene?
Home values in Keene have been appreciating at 2.6% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $375K home would be worth approximately $426K in 5 years.
Is Keene a growing city?
Keene's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.5% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Keene?
In Keene, pure cash flow is tight at 3.22%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Keene compare to other Northeast cities?
Among Northeast markets, Keene's 3.22% cap rate exceeds the New Hampshire average of 2.55%. Prices at $375K are below the state average of $468K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Keene against specific markets.
Full Keene Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Keene & Related Markets

More Keene Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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