Lawton, OK Cap Rate 6.68%
Lawton is one of the most affordable markets in the country in the South with a small but investable metro of 50,000. At a 6.68% estimated cap rate, this is a solid market where rents of $1,110/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $150,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Lawton stands out as a market worth serious analysis for rental investors.
Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026
Market Data
2026 Market Update: Lawton
Lawton's 0.7% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $150,000, the $1,110/mo rent produces only $836/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.
On a conventional loan with 20% down ($30K) at 7%, estimated monthly cash flow is $38 — a thin 1.5% cash-on-cash return. Investors should negotiate below asking price or target properties with above-median rents to build a meaningful cash flow buffer.
The 11.3x gross rent multiplier and 5.8% vacancy rate position Lawton as a value-oriented market. With annual appreciation at 2.5%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 9.2% before financing leverage.
Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Lawton
All figures below are computed from Lawton's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.
Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars
At 0.88% effective rate on the $150,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $1,320 — that's near national average (-17% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.
5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory
If Lawton continues appreciating at 2.5%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:
| Year | Est. Price | Est. Rent/Mo | Cap Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | $150K | $1,110 | 6.7% |
| Year 1 | $154K | $1,143 | 6.7% |
| Year 2 | $158K | $1,178 | 6.8% |
| Year 3 | $162K | $1,213 | 6.8% |
| Year 4 | $166K | $1,249 | 6.8% |
| Year 5 | $170K | $1,287 | 6.9% |
Three Financing Scenarios
Same median-priced Lawton property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.
| Scenario | Cash Invested | Monthly Cash Flow | Annual CF | Cash-on-Cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All cash | $150K | $836 | $10,027 | 6.7% |
| 20% down conventional @ 7% | $35K | $38 | $451 | 1.3% |
| 25% down DSCR @ 8.5% | $44K | $-30 | $-354 | -0.8% |
Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median
Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:
| Tier | Price | Rent/Mo | NOI/Yr | Cap Rate | Monthly CF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below median (~75% price) | $113K | $944 | $7,418 | 6.6% | $618 |
| At median | $150K | $1,110 | $8,496 | 5.7% | $708 |
| Above median (~125% price) | $188K | $1,277 | $9,583 | 5.1% | $799 |
Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold
Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Lawton's historical appreciation rate of 2.5%:
On a $30K down payment, that's a 103.2% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.
Risk Flags Specific to Lawton
Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Lawton, not generic boilerplate:
Cap Rate Calculator — Lawton
Pre-filled with Lawton medians. Adjust to match a specific property.
Cash-on-Cash Return — Lawton
Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Lawton.
Is Lawton a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?
Lawton, OK has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at 0.9% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $150,000 paired with median rents of $1,110/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 6.68%.
Property taxes at 0.88% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 5.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.
At a price-to-income ratio of 2.7x, homes cost about 2.7 times the local median income of $56,350. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.5% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.
Bottom line: Lawton offers attractive fundamentals for rental investors. low taxes, and cap rates above 6% put it in the upper tier of investable markets.