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Tuscaloosa, AL Cap Rate: 6.73% — Rental Property Analysis

Tuscaloosa is the home of the University of Alabama and the broader Mercedes-Benz U.S. International (MBUSI) supplier ecosystem — a metro with two unusually strong anchor employers for its size. The 6.73% cap rate at a $215,000 median price keeps the 0.71% rent-to-price ratio close to functional. Population growth at 0.8%/yr is steady, helped by both UA enrollment and continued Mercedes expansion.

Employment is anchored by the University of Alabama (the state flagship with ~39K students plus the UA Medical Center / DCH Health complex and the broader research and athletic enterprise — the SEC football economy contributes meaningfully to game-day STR demand on home weekends), Mercedes-Benz U.S. International (the MBUSI plant in Vance just east of Tuscaloosa — manufactures the GLE, GLS, and EQS SUVs for global export — with the broader Tier-1 and Tier-2 supplier ecosystem extending throughout Tuscaloosa County and into Bibb County), DCH Health System (the dominant regional medical system), Stillman College, the broader Tuscaloosa County government, and meaningful related-supplier employment in steel, plastics, and seating for the Mercedes plant. The tenant base is unusually diversified — UA students, MBUSI engineers and skilled trades, plus healthcare professionals. Submarkets stratify cleanly: the Forest Lake and Cherrybrook areas are walkable urban-historic with strong appreciation; the campus zones (Strip area, the Mounds) are student-heavy with operational complexity; the Northport side (across the Black Warrior River) draws more workforce inventory at deeper-value pricing; the southwest Tuscaloosa zones extend with newer construction.

Alabama property tax at 0.43% is among the lowest in the country. AL state income tax is moderate. Insurance is reasonable (Tuscaloosa sits inland — no Gulf hurricane exposure, though the April 2011 EF4 tornado that devastated parts of the city remains a relevant insurance reference). The structural advantages: UA + Mercedes is a genuinely diversified employer mix unusual for an Alabama metro this size; the Mercedes plant has invested billions in EV-transition capacity (the EQS production line was added in 2022) and the long-term commitment to Tuscaloosa appears durable; SEC football game-day STR upside is meaningful (Crimson Tide home games produce extraordinary rental demand — 7 home games per year, with premium pricing); cost basis is materially below Birmingham or Huntsville. The structural risks: student-market concentration is real; Mercedes concentration matters (any major program-shift decision would ripple to supplier employment); tornado/severe-weather exposure is meaningful — verify wind/hail deductible structure. For investors who want Alabama tax structure plus genuinely diversified anchors, Tuscaloosa is the most defensible mid-Alabama option.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Strong investment fundamentals
Based on $215,000 median price and $1,520/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
6.73%
1% Rule
0.71%
Fails
GRM
11.8x
Price / Income
5.0x

Market Data

Median Home Price$215,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,520
Property Tax Rate0.43%
Population110,000
Population Growth0.8% / yr
Median Household Income$42,800
Vacancy Rate6.2%
Annual Appreciation2.4%

2026 Market Update: Tuscaloosa

Tuscaloosa's 0.7% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $215,000, the $1,520/mo rent produces only $1,205/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

On a conventional loan with 20% down ($43K) at 7%, estimated monthly cash flow is $61 — a thin 1.7% cash-on-cash return. Investors should negotiate below asking price or target properties with above-median rents to build a meaningful cash flow buffer.

The 11.8x gross rent multiplier and 6.2% vacancy rate position Tuscaloosa as a value-oriented market. With annual appreciation at 2.4%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 9.1% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Tuscaloosa

All figures below are computed from Tuscaloosa's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$925
Monthly$77
% of Gross Rent5.1%

At 0.43% effective rate on the $215,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $925 — that's very low (bottom 15% of US markets) (-59% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Tuscaloosa continues appreciating at 2.4%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$215K$1,5206.7%
Year 1$220K$1,5666.8%
Year 2$225K$1,6136.8%
Year 3$231K$1,6616.8%
Year 4$236K$1,7116.9%
Year 5$242K$1,7626.9%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Tuscaloosa property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$215K$1,205$14,4656.7%
20% down conventional @ 7%$49K$62$7391.5%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$62K$-35$-416-0.7%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$161K$1,292$10,7246.7%$894
At median$215K$1,520$12,4065.8%$1,034
Above median (~125% price)$269K$1,748$14,0895.2%$1,174

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Tuscaloosa's historical appreciation rate of 2.4%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$4K
Appreciation$27K
Principal Paydown$13K
Total Return$44K

On a $43K down payment, that's a 101.5% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Tuscaloosa

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Tuscaloosa, not generic boilerplate:

Clean readNo major risk flags surface from the underlying data. That doesn't mean a specific property is risk-free — always check submarket conditions, school district, code-enforcement environment, and neighborhood-level data before underwriting.

Cap Rate Calculator — Tuscaloosa

Pre-filled with Tuscaloosa medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.43% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
5.60%Moderate
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$12,033
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
11.8x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.71%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$1,003
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$18,240
Less Vacancy−$1,131
Effective Income$17,109
Less Operating Expenses−$5,076
Net Operating Income$12,033
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Tuscaloosa

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Tuscaloosa.

$
$53,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-3.37%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$60,200
$53,750 down + $6,450 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,051
on $161K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-169
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-2,031
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,520
Less Expenses−$638
Less Mortgage−$1,051
Monthly Cash Flow$-169

Is Tuscaloosa a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Tuscaloosa, AL has a population of 110,000 and has been growing at 0.8% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $215,000 paired with median rents of $1,520/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 6.73%.

Property taxes at 0.43% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 6.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.0x, homes cost about 5.0 times the local median income of $42,800. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.4% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Tuscaloosa offers attractive fundamentals for rental investors. low taxes, and cap rates above 6% put it in the upper tier of investable markets.

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