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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Mount Vernon, OH

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Mount Vernon, OH

Cap Rate
2.79%
Median Price
$275K
Rent/Mo
$1,270
1% Rule
0.46%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Mount Vernon, OH have appreciated at 2.2% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Mount Vernon continues appreciating at 2.2% annually, the current median of $275,000 would reach approximately $306,611 in 5 years — an equity gain of $31,611 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $55,000, that represents a 57% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $38,370, the projected total return is $69,981 — a 127% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Mount Vernon is minimal at 0.2%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Mount Vernon, the 2.79% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.2% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Mount Vernon Compares

Mount Vernon vs Ohio state average and national average across key investment metrics. Mount Vernon's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Mount Vernon
Ohio Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.79%
3.65%
3.81%
Median Price
$275K
$218K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,270
$1,149
$1,524
Property Tax
1.58%
1.58%
1.08%
Vacancy
6.7%
6.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.2%/yr
0.2%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Mount Vernon, OH
2.8%
$275K
$1,270
1.58%
Lafayette, IN
4.1%
$275K
$1,390
0.85%
Warrensburg, MO
2.3%
$275K
$1,060
1.25%
Warsaw, IN
2.9%
$275K
$1,110
0.84%
Winona, MN
3.1%
$275K
$1,220
1.12%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Mount Vernon?
Home values in Mount Vernon have been appreciating at 2.2% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $275K home would be worth approximately $307K in 5 years.
Is Mount Vernon a growing city?
Mount Vernon's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.2% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Mount Vernon?
In Mount Vernon, pure cash flow is tight at 2.79%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Mount Vernon compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Mount Vernon's 2.79% cap rate is below the Ohio average of 3.65%. Prices at $275K are above the state average of $218K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Mount Vernon against specific markets.
Full Mount Vernon Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Mount Vernon & Related Markets

More Mount Vernon Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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