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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: North Vernon, IN

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for North Vernon, IN

Cap Rate
3.26%
Median Price
$220K
Rent/Mo
$950
1% Rule
0.43%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in North Vernon, IN have appreciated at 2.6% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If North Vernon continues appreciating at 2.6% annually, the current median of $220,000 would reach approximately $250,126 in 5 years — an equity gain of $30,126 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $44,000, that represents a 68% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $35,825, the projected total return is $65,951 — a 150% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

North Vernon's population growth of 0.9% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Higher-than-average local incomes ($60,888) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In North Vernon, the 3.26% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.6% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How North Vernon Compares

North Vernon vs Indiana state average and national average across key investment metrics. North Vernon's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
North Vernon
Indiana Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.26%
3.98%
3.81%
Median Price
$220K
$230K
$333K
Median Rent
$950
$1,124
$1,524
Property Tax
0.84%
0.84%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.5%
5.5%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
North Vernon, IN
3.3%
$220K
$950
0.84%
Fort Leonard Wood, MO
3.6%
$220K
$1,100
1.25%
Joplin, MO
4.3%
$220K
$1,230
1.25%
Mount Pleasant, MI
3.6%
$220K
$1,150
1.46%
Wisconsin Rapids, WI
2.2%
$220K
$950
1.88%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in North Vernon?
Home values in North Vernon have been appreciating at 2.6% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $220K home would be worth approximately $250K in 5 years.
Is North Vernon a growing city?
North Vernon's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.9% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for North Vernon?
In North Vernon, pure cash flow is tight at 3.26%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does North Vernon compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, North Vernon's 3.26% cap rate is below the Indiana average of 3.98%. Prices at $220K are below the state average of $230K. See our comparison tool to evaluate North Vernon against specific markets.
Full North Vernon Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore North Vernon & Related Markets

More North Vernon Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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