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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Rolla, MO

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Rolla, MO

Cap Rate
2.06%
Median Price
$225K
Rent/Mo
$820
1% Rule
0.36%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Rolla, MO have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Rolla continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $225,000 would reach approximately $254,567 in 5 years — an equity gain of $29,567 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $45,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $23,186, the projected total return is $52,753 — a 117% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Rolla is minimal at 0.5%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Rolla, the 2.06% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Rolla Compares

Rolla vs Missouri state average and national average across key investment metrics. Rolla's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Rolla
Missouri Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.06%
3.26%
3.81%
Median Price
$225K
$241K
$333K
Median Rent
$820
$1,126
$1,524
Property Tax
1.25%
1.25%
1.08%
Vacancy
6%
6%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.5%/yr
0.5%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Rolla, MO
2.1%
$225K
$820
1.25%
South Bend, IN
5.3%
$225K
$1,390
0.86%
Champaign, IL
3.8%
$225K
$1,310
2.04%
Cape Girardeau, MO
3.0%
$225K
$1,010
1.25%
Garden City, KS
2.0%
$225K
$820
1.38%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Rolla?
Home values in Rolla have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $225K home would be worth approximately $255K in 5 years.
Is Rolla a growing city?
Rolla's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.5% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Rolla?
In Rolla, pure cash flow is tight at 2.06%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Rolla compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Rolla's 2.06% cap rate is below the Missouri average of 3.26%. Prices at $225K are below the state average of $241K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Rolla against specific markets.
Full Rolla Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Rolla & Related Markets

More Rolla Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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