%
CapRateCity
Free cap rate calculators for every US market
MarketsGeorgiaSt. MarysAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: St. Marys, GA

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for St. Marys, GA

Cap Rate
3.81%
Median Price
$305K
Rent/Mo
$1,500
1% Rule
0.49%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in St. Marys, GA have appreciated at 2.9% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If St. Marys continues appreciating at 2.9% annually, the current median of $305,000 would reach approximately $351,866 in 5 years — an equity gain of $46,866 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $61,000, that represents a 77% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $58,038, the projected total return is $104,904 — a 172% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

St. Marys's population growth of 0.9% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In St. Marys, the 3.81% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.9% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Sponsored · Want to analyze a specific property? DealCheck imports real listing data and runs the full analysis for you.
Try Free →

How St. Marys Compares

St. Marys vs Georgia state average and national average across key investment metrics. St. Marys's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
St. Marys
Georgia Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.81%
4.97%
3.81%
Median Price
$305K
$260K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,500
$1,489
$1,524
Property Tax
0.93%
0.93%
1.08%
Vacancy
6.2%
6.2%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
St. Marys, GA
3.8%
$305K
$1,500
0.93%
Pensacola, FL
4.8%
$305K
$1,720
0.79%
Greenville, SC
4.4%
$305K
$1,550
0.55%
Houston, TX
3.4%
$305K
$1,620
1.81%
College Station, TX
3.5%
$305K
$1,620
1.72%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in St. Marys?
Home values in St. Marys have been appreciating at 2.9% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $305K home would be worth approximately $352K in 5 years.
Is St. Marys a growing city?
St. Marys's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.9% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for St. Marys?
In St. Marys, pure cash flow is tight at 3.81%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does St. Marys compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, St. Marys's 3.81% cap rate is below the Georgia average of 4.97%. Prices at $305K are above the state average of $260K. See our comparison tool to evaluate St. Marys against specific markets.
Full St. Marys Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore St. Marys & Related Markets

More St. Marys Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

Similar Markets in the South

North Charleston, SC$430K · $1,970/mo
3.8%
Russellville, AR$195K · $900/mo
3.8%
San Angelo, TX$240K · $1,340/mo
3.8%
Lynchburg, VA$280K · $1,340/mo
3.8%
Burlington, NC$290K · $1,380/mo
3.8%
The CapRateCity Report
Weekly market analysis: highest cap rate cities, emerging markets, and deal breakdowns. Free, no spam.