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MarketsOhioUrbanaAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Urbana, OH

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Urbana, OH

Cap Rate
2.05%
Median Price
$240K
Rent/Mo
$950
1% Rule
0.40%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Urbana, OH have appreciated at 2.2% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Urbana continues appreciating at 2.2% annually, the current median of $240,000 would reach approximately $267,587 in 5 years — an equity gain of $27,587 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $48,000, that represents a 57% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $24,621, the projected total return is $52,208 — a 109% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Urbana is minimal at 0.2%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Urbana, the 2.05% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.2% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Urbana Compares

Urbana vs Ohio state average and national average across key investment metrics. Urbana's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Urbana
Ohio Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.05%
3.65%
3.81%
Median Price
$240K
$218K
$333K
Median Rent
$950
$1,149
$1,524
Property Tax
1.58%
1.58%
1.08%
Vacancy
6.7%
6.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.2%/yr
0.2%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Urbana, OH
2.1%
$240K
$950
1.58%
Lansing, MI
4.0%
$240K
$1,330
1.42%
Cleveland, OH
4.0%
$240K
$1,390
1.63%
Bellefontaine, OH
3.1%
$240K
$1,180
1.58%
Muskegon, MI
3.2%
$240K
$1,170
1.46%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Urbana?
Home values in Urbana have been appreciating at 2.2% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $240K home would be worth approximately $268K in 5 years.
Is Urbana a growing city?
Urbana's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.2% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Urbana?
In Urbana, pure cash flow is tight at 2.05%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Urbana compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Urbana's 2.05% cap rate is below the Ohio average of 3.65%. Prices at $240K are above the state average of $218K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Urbana against specific markets.
Full Urbana Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Urbana & Related Markets

More Urbana Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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