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MarketsMontanaButteAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Butte, MT

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Butte, MT

Cap Rate
3.95%
Median Price
$275K
Rent/Mo
$1,320
1% Rule
0.48%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Butte, MT have appreciated at 2.6% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Butte continues appreciating at 2.6% annually, the current median of $275,000 would reach approximately $312,658 in 5 years — an equity gain of $37,658 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $55,000, that represents a 68% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $54,265, the projected total return is $91,923 — a 167% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Butte's population growth of 1.5% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Butte, the 3.95% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.6% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Butte Compares

Butte vs Montana state average and national average across key investment metrics. Butte outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Butte
Montana Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.95%
2.50%
3.81%
Median Price
$275K
$477K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,320
$1,620
$1,524
Property Tax
0.76%
0.76%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.4%
4.4%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.5%/yr
1.5%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Butte, MT
3.9%
$275K
$1,320
0.76%
Yuma, AZ
4.2%
$280K
$1,380
0.63%
Pueblo, CO
3.8%
$285K
$1,300
0.53%
Las Cruces, NM
3.7%
$285K
$1,340
0.8%
Farmington, NM
4.4%
$265K
$1,390
0.77%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Butte?
Home values in Butte have been appreciating at 2.6% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $275K home would be worth approximately $313K in 5 years.
Is Butte a growing city?
Butte's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.5% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Butte?
In Butte, pure cash flow is tight at 3.95%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Butte compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Butte's 3.95% cap rate exceeds the Montana average of 2.50%. Prices at $275K are below the state average of $477K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Butte against specific markets.
Full Butte Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Butte & Related Markets

More Butte Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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