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Cap Rate Analysis: Bakersfield, CA

Investment metrics, interactive calculators, and data-driven analysis for Bakersfield rental properties.

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $320,000 median price and $1,420/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.50%
1% Rule
0.44%
Fails
GRM
18.8x
Price / Income
5.6x

Market Data

Median Home Price$320,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,420
Property Tax Rate0.72%
Population410,647
Population Growth0.9% / yr
Median Household Income$56,800
Vacancy Rate5.8%
Annual Appreciation2.6%

Cap Rate Calculator — Bakersfield

Pre-filled with Bakersfield medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.72% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.93%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$9,392
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
18.8x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.44%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$783
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$17,040
Less Vacancy−$988
Effective Income$16,052
Less Operating Expenses−$6,660
Net Operating Income$9,392

Cash-on-Cash Return — Bakersfield

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Bakersfield.

$
$80,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-9.92%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$89,600
$80,000 down + $9,600 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,565
on $240K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-741
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-8,887
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,420
Less Expenses−$596
Less Mortgage−$1,565
Monthly Cash Flow$-741

Is Bakersfield a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Bakersfield, CA has a population of 410,647 and has been growing at 0.9% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $320,000 paired with median rents of $1,420/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.50%.

Property taxes at 0.72% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.6x, homes cost about 5.6 times the local median income of $56,800. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.6% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Bakersfield is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

Run a BRRRR analysis for Bakersfield
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