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MarketsWashingtonLongviewAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Longview, WA

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Longview, WA

Cap Rate
2.19%
Median Price
$415K
Rent/Mo
$1,420
1% Rule
0.34%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Longview, WA have appreciated at 2.8% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Longview continues appreciating at 2.8% annually, the current median of $415,000 would reach approximately $476,446 in 5 years — an equity gain of $61,446 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $83,000, that represents a 74% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $45,383, the projected total return is $106,829 — a 129% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Longview's population growth of 1.1% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Higher-than-average local incomes ($62,750) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Longview, the 2.19% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.8% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Longview Compares

Longview vs Washington state average and national average across key investment metrics. Longview's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Longview
Washington Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
2.19%
2.43%
3.81%
Median Price
$415K
$485K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,420
$1,726
$1,524
Property Tax
0.93%
0.93%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.6%
4.6%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.1%/yr
1.1%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Longview, WA
2.2%
$415K
$1,420
0.93%
Merced, CA
3.6%
$415K
$1,880
0.75%
Spokane, WA
2.4%
$410K
$1,490
0.94%
Anchorage, AK
2.8%
$410K
$1,680
1.04%
Spokane Valley, WA
2.4%
$410K
$1,490
0.92%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Longview?
Home values in Longview have been appreciating at 2.8% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $415K home would be worth approximately $476K in 5 years.
Is Longview a growing city?
Longview's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.1% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Longview?
In Longview, pure cash flow is tight at 2.19%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Longview compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Longview's 2.19% cap rate is below the Washington average of 2.43%. Prices at $415K are below the state average of $485K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Longview against specific markets.
Full Longview Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Longview & Related Markets

More Longview Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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