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Spokane, WA Cap Rate: 2.40% — Rental Property Analysis

Spokane is the second-largest metro in Washington and the unofficial capital of the "Inland Northwest" — distinct in climate, demographics, and economic base from the Seattle-Tacoma metro on the west side of the Cascades. The 2.40% cap rate at a $410,000 median price reflects sustained in-migration that ran hot in 2020-2022 and partially reset. The 0.36% rent-to-price ratio sits below the 1% rule but is meaningfully better than Seattle. Population growth at 1.2%/yr is steady.

Employment is anchored by Providence Sacred Heart Medical Center and the broader Providence Health system (the dominant regional medical employer serving the Inland Northwest), MultiCare Health Eastern Region, Fairchild Air Force Base (the KC-135 Stratotanker refueling base and the Air Force Survival, Evasion, Resistance and Escape school — the regional Air Force training mission), Gonzaga University (Jesuit private university famous for basketball), Whitworth University and the broader regional college base, the Spokane Tribe (which operates significant gaming and economic-development operations), the broader Spokane County government, and a meaningful aerospace-and-manufacturing base (Triumph Composite Systems, the broader Inland NW manufacturing economy). Submarkets stratify cleanly: the South Hill (Manito, Cliff/Cannon, Comstock) is premium walkable urban-historic with strong appreciation; the North Side (Five Mile Prairie, Indian Trail) draws family-school suburban rentals; the East Sprague / U-District zones are student-and-young-professional with mixed inventory; Spokane Valley extends the metro east with cheaper basis; the broader Liberty Lake area is the premium suburban-school zone.

Washington has no state income tax (a structural cash-flow advantage). Spokane County's property tax at 0.94% is moderate. Insurance is reasonable but verify wildfire exposure for foothill-edge properties (the broader Inland Northwest has meaningful wildfire seasons, and the 2023 fires near Medical Lake just west of Spokane caused real damage and insurance repricing in some submarkets). Washington has shifted toward tenant-protective regulations in recent years (just-cause eviction statewide, longer notice periods) — operating in WA requires comfort with the regulatory framework. The structural advantages: durable healthcare + university + Air Force employment; no state income tax; cost basis is materially below Seattle or Tacoma; the metro has avoided the boom-bust cycles that hit smaller Inland NW markets. The structural risks: Spokane has historically had per-submarket variance between gentrified historic areas and older lower-income North Side / East Spokane neighborhoods; cold-climate operational complexity (snow management, frozen-pipe risk). For investors who want WA tax structure outside Seattle pricing, Spokane is the most defensible Inland NW option.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $410,000 median price and $1,490/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
2.40%
1% Rule
0.36%
Fails
GRM
22.9x
Price / Income
8.1x

Market Data

Median Home Price$410,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,490
Property Tax Rate0.94%
Population230,160
Population Growth1.2% / yr
Median Household Income$50,800
Vacancy Rate5%
Annual Appreciation3%

2026 Market Update: Spokane

Spokane's 0.4% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $410,000, the $1,490/mo rent produces only $821/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($82K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,360/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 22% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Spokane a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Spokane

All figures below are computed from Spokane's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$3,854
Monthly$321
% of Gross Rent21.6%

At 0.94% effective rate on the $410,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $3,854 — that's near national average (-11% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Spokane continues appreciating at 3%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$410K$1,4902.4%
Year 1$422K$1,5352.4%
Year 2$435K$1,5812.4%
Year 3$448K$1,6282.4%
Year 4$461K$1,6772.4%
Year 5$475K$1,7272.4%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Spokane property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$410K$821$9,8522.4%
20% down conventional @ 7%$94K$-1,360$-16,322-17.3%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$119K$-1,544$-18,524-15.6%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$308K$1,267$7,8912.6%$658
At median$410K$1,490$8,6312.1%$719
Above median (~125% price)$513K$1,713$9,3721.8%$781

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Spokane's historical appreciation rate of 3%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-81,612
Appreciation$65K
Principal Paydown$25K
Total Return$8K

On a $82K down payment, that's a 10.1% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Spokane

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Spokane, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.36% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.
Worth notingPrice-to-income ratio of 8.1x suggests homeownership is stretched locally — supports rental demand, but limits the buyer pool for any future exit.

Cap Rate Calculator — Spokane

Pre-filled with Spokane medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.94% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.02%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$8,274
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
22.9x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.36%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$690
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$17,880
Less Vacancy−$894
Effective Income$16,986
Less Operating Expenses−$8,712
Net Operating Income$8,274
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Spokane

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Spokane.

$
$102,500
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-11.92%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$114,800
$102,500 down + $12,300 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,005
on $308K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,141
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-13,688
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,490
Less Expenses−$626
Less Mortgage−$2,005
Monthly Cash Flow$-1,141

Is Spokane a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Spokane, WA has a population of 230,160 and has been growing at 1.2% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $410,000 paired with median rents of $1,490/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 2.40%.

Property taxes at 0.94% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 8.1x, homes cost about 8.1 times the local median income of $50,800. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Spokane is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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