%
CapRateCity
Free cap rate calculators for every US market
MarketsCaliforniaMerced

Cap Rate Analysis: Merced, CA

Investment metrics, interactive calculators, and data-driven analysis for Merced rental properties.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $415,000 median price and $1,880/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.60%
1% Rule
0.45%
Fails
GRM
18.4x
Price / Income
6.9x

Market Data

Median Home Price$415,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,880
Property Tax Rate0.75%
Population50,000
Population Growth0.8% / yr
Median Household Income$60,018
Vacancy Rate5.2%
Annual Appreciation2.8%

Cap Rate Calculator — Merced

Pre-filled with Merced medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.75% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.03%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$12,567
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
18.4x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.45%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$1,047
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$22,560
Less Vacancy−$1,173
Effective Income$21,387
Less Operating Expenses−$8,820
Net Operating Income$12,567
Sponsored
Analyze Deals Faster with DealCheck
Import any property, get instant investment analysis — cap rates, cash flow, rehab estimates, and offer calculations. Used by 350,000+ investors.
Try DealCheck Free →

Cash-on-Cash Return — Merced

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Merced.

$
$103,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-9.70%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$116,200
$103,750 down + $12,450 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,029
on $311K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-939
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-11,269
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,880
Less Expenses−$790
Less Mortgage−$2,029
Monthly Cash Flow$-939

Is Merced a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Merced, CA has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at 0.8% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $415,000 paired with median rents of $1,880/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.60%.

Property taxes at 0.75% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.9x, homes cost about 6.9 times the local median income of $60,018. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.8% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Merced is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

Sponsored
Get AI-Powered Property Insights
Homesage.ai analyzes 140 million properties with AI — spot hidden deals, assess property condition, and find investment opportunities. Free to try.
Analyze Properties →

Merced Investment Guides

Explore Merced Data

Free Download
Top 25 Cash Flow Cities (2026)
See how Merced compares to the best cash flow markets in America.
Get the Report →
Sponsored
Investor Gear
Google Nest Thermostat
Google
$130
FLIR ONE Gen 3 Thermal Camera
FLIR
$179
Schlage Connect Keypad Deadbolt
Schlage
$229
The CapRateCity Report
Weekly market analysis: highest cap rate cities, emerging markets, and deal breakdowns. Free, no spam.

Similar Markets in the West

Fresno, CA$405K · $1,840/mo
3.6%
Twin Falls, ID$375K · $1,650/mo
3.6%
Stockton, CA$525K · $2,360/mo
3.6%
Pahrump, NV$355K · $1,530/mo
3.6%
Modesto, CA$460K · $2,060/mo
3.5%
Run a BRRRR analysis for Merced
Model a buy-rehab-refinance deal with Merced data pre-loaded.
Open BRRRR Calculator →