Investment metrics, interactive calculators, and data-driven analysis for Modesto rental properties.
Pre-filled with Modesto medians. Adjust to match a specific property.
Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Modesto.
Modesto, CA has a population of 218,000 and has been growing at 0.5% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $380,000 paired with median rents of $1,620/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.28%.
Property taxes at 0.75% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.
At a price-to-income ratio of 6.8x, homes cost about 6.8 times the local median income of $56,200. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.6% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.
Bottom line: At current median prices, Modesto is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.