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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Maryville, MO

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Maryville, MO

Cap Rate
1.99%
Median Price
$215K
Rent/Mo
$770
1% Rule
0.36%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Maryville, MO have appreciated at 2.5% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Maryville continues appreciating at 2.5% annually, the current median of $215,000 would reach approximately $243,253 in 5 years — an equity gain of $28,253 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $43,000, that represents a 66% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $21,391, the projected total return is $49,644 — a 115% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Maryville is minimal at 0.5%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Maryville, the 1.99% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.5% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Maryville Compares

Maryville vs Missouri state average and national average across key investment metrics. Maryville's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Maryville
Missouri Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
1.99%
3.26%
3.81%
Median Price
$215K
$241K
$333K
Median Rent
$770
$1,126
$1,524
Property Tax
1.25%
1.25%
1.08%
Vacancy
6%
6%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.5%/yr
0.5%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Maryville, MO
2.0%
$215K
$770
1.25%
Evansville, IN
3.9%
$215K
$1,050
0.82%
Wichita, KS
3.9%
$215K
$1,160
1.41%
Sioux City, IA
3.5%
$215K
$1,120
1.54%
Big Rapids, MI
3.4%
$215K
$1,080
1.46%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Maryville?
Home values in Maryville have been appreciating at 2.5% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $215K home would be worth approximately $243K in 5 years.
Is Maryville a growing city?
Maryville's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.5% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Maryville?
In Maryville, pure cash flow is tight at 1.99%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Maryville compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Maryville's 1.99% cap rate is below the Missouri average of 3.26%. Prices at $215K are below the state average of $241K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Maryville against specific markets.
Full Maryville Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Maryville & Related Markets

More Maryville Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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