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Wichita, KS Cap Rate: 3.86% — Rental Property Analysis

Wichita is the "Air Capital of the World" — historically the largest concentration of small-aircraft manufacturing in the country and one of the more genuinely industry-concentrated mid-size metros anywhere in the US. The 3.86% cap rate at a $215,000 median price keeps the 0.54% rent-to-price ratio close to functional cash flow, a function of price stagnation rather than rent strength. Population growth at 0.5%/yr is flat — Wichita has not been a population-growth story for two decades.

Employment is anchored by the aerospace cluster: Spirit AeroSystems (the largest private employer in Kansas — manufactures fuselage sections for Boeing 737, 787, and other airframes), Textron Aviation (Cessna and Beechcraft, manufacturing business jets and propeller aircraft), Boeing Wichita operations, Bombardier Learjet legacy operations, and dozens of suppliers in the broader aerospace supply chain. Outside aerospace, Koch Industries (privately-held conglomerate, headquartered in Wichita with significant operational presence), Cargill, Wesley Medical Center and Ascension Via Christi, McConnell Air Force Base, Wichita State University, and the broader Sedgwick County government and school system. Submarkets stratify cleanly: College Hill / Crown Heights are premium walkable urban-character; East Wichita and the Eastborough enclave are premium suburban-school; Riverside and Delano draw young-professional rentals; the southwest, south, and southeast Wichita zones offer deeper-value workforce inventory.

Kansas property tax at 1.41% is on the higher end for the Plains states; Sedgwick County's assessment process produces predictable annual increases. Kansas state income tax is graduated with a top rate near 5.7%. Insurance is reasonable but tornado / hail risk is meaningful — verify wind/hail deductible structure (separate higher deductibles are common in KS policies). The structural risks: the entire metro economy has meaningful concentration in commercial aerospace (Boeing 737 production cycles affect Spirit AeroSystems directly; the 2018-2020 737 MAX issues caused real layoffs and rental softening). Diversification into healthcare and Koch operations has helped but not eliminated the cyclicality. The structural advantage: low cost basis, durable aerospace expertise that's hard to replicate elsewhere, and one of the more genuinely diversified employment bases relative to similar-sized Plains metros. For operators comfortable with the aerospace-cycle exposure, Wichita produces functional cash-flow math that's rare in 2026.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $215,000 median price and $1,160/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.86%
1% Rule
0.54%
Fails
GRM
15.4x
Price / Income
4.1x

Market Data

Median Home Price$215,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,160
Property Tax Rate1.41%
Population397,532
Population Growth0.5% / yr
Median Household Income$52,600
Vacancy Rate6.2%
Annual Appreciation2.3%

2026 Market Update: Wichita

Wichita's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $215,000, the $1,160/mo rent produces only $692/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($43K at 7%) would result in approximately $-452/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 22% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Wichita a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Wichita

All figures below are computed from Wichita's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$3,032
Monthly$253
% of Gross Rent21.8%

At 1.41% effective rate on the $215,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $3,032 — that's above national average (+33% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Wichita continues appreciating at 2.3%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$215K$1,1603.9%
Year 1$220K$1,1953.9%
Year 2$225K$1,2313.9%
Year 3$230K$1,2683.9%
Year 4$235K$1,3064.0%
Year 5$241K$1,3454.0%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Wichita property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$215K$692$8,3053.9%
20% down conventional @ 7%$49K$-452$-5,420-11.0%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$62K$-548$-6,575-10.5%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$161K$986$6,2873.9%$524
At median$215K$1,160$6,9383.2%$578
Above median (~125% price)$269K$1,334$7,5902.8%$632

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Wichita's historical appreciation rate of 2.3%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-27,101
Appreciation$26K
Principal Paydown$13K
Total Return$12K

On a $43K down payment, that's a 27.2% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Wichita

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Wichita, not generic boilerplate:

Worth notingProperty tax rate of 1.41% is above national average. Verify the assessed value before purchase — sale-triggered reassessments can push your actual bill up.
Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.54% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.

Cap Rate Calculator — Wichita

Pre-filled with Wichita medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.41% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.09%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$6,649
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
15.4x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.54%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$554
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$13,920
Less Vacancy−$863
Effective Income$13,057
Less Operating Expenses−$6,408
Net Operating Income$6,649
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Wichita

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Wichita.

$
$53,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-7.54%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$60,200
$53,750 down + $6,450 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,051
on $161K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-378
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-4,539
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,160
Less Expenses−$487
Less Mortgage−$1,051
Monthly Cash Flow$-378

Is Wichita a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Wichita, KS has a population of 397,532 and has been growing at 0.5% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $215,000 paired with median rents of $1,160/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.86%.

Property taxes at 1.41% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 6.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.1x, homes cost about 4.1 times the local median income of $52,600. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Wichita is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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