%
CapRateCity
Free cap rate calculators for every US market
MarketsMinnesotaWinonaAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Winona, MN

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Winona, MN

Cap Rate
3.15%
Median Price
$275K
Rent/Mo
$1,220
1% Rule
0.44%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Winona, MN have appreciated at 2.6% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Winona continues appreciating at 2.6% annually, the current median of $275,000 would reach approximately $312,658 in 5 years — an equity gain of $37,658 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $55,000, that represents a 68% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $43,286, the projected total return is $80,944 — a 147% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Population growth in Winona is minimal at 0.5%. Appreciation here is more likely driven by regional economic factors, inflation, and housing stock constraints rather than population-driven demand. Higher-than-average local incomes ($60,800) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Winona, the 3.15% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.6% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Sponsored · Want to analyze a specific property? DealCheck imports real listing data and runs the full analysis for you.
Try Free →

How Winona Compares

Winona vs Minnesota state average and national average across key investment metrics. Winona's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Winona
Minnesota Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.15%
3.12%
3.81%
Median Price
$275K
$310K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,220
$1,353
$1,524
Property Tax
1.12%
1.12%
1.08%
Vacancy
4.8%
4.8%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.5%/yr
0.5%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Midwest Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Winona, MN
3.1%
$275K
$1,220
1.12%
Lafayette, IN
4.1%
$275K
$1,390
0.85%
Mount Vernon, OH
2.8%
$275K
$1,270
1.58%
Warrensburg, MO
2.3%
$275K
$1,060
1.25%
Warsaw, IN
2.9%
$275K
$1,110
0.84%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Winona?
Home values in Winona have been appreciating at 2.6% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $275K home would be worth approximately $313K in 5 years.
Is Winona a growing city?
Winona's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.5% per year. Slow growth means demand is stable but not increasing rapidly.
What is the best investment strategy for Winona?
In Winona, pure cash flow is tight at 3.15%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Winona compare to other Midwest cities?
Among Midwest markets, Winona's 3.15% cap rate exceeds the Minnesota average of 3.12%. Prices at $275K are below the state average of $310K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Winona against specific markets.
Full Winona Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Winona & Related Markets

More Winona Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

Similar Markets in the Midwest

Marinette, WI$195K · $1,000/mo
3.1%
Elkhart, IN$255K · $1,080/mo
3.2%
Bellefontaine, OH$240K · $1,180/mo
3.1%
Cedar Rapids, IA$235K · $1,120/mo
3.1%
Columbia, MO$310K · $1,400/mo
3.1%
The CapRateCity Report
Weekly market analysis: highest cap rate cities, emerging markets, and deal breakdowns. Free, no spam.