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MarketsTennesseeClevelandAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Cleveland, TN

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Cleveland, TN

Cap Rate
3.72%
Median Price
$300K
Rent/Mo
$1,370
1% Rule
0.46%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Cleveland, TN have appreciated at 3.1% per year. This is roughly in line with or slightly above the national average, providing steady equity building without the volatility of boom markets.

5-Year Price Projection

If Cleveland continues appreciating at 3.1% annually, the current median of $300,000 would reach approximately $349,474 in 5 years — an equity gain of $49,474 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $60,000, that represents a 82% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $55,765, the projected total return is $105,239 — a 175% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Cleveland's population is growing at 1.6% annually — well above the US average of ~0.5%. Rapid population growth is the single strongest predictor of sustained home price appreciation because it creates persistent demand pressure. More people need more housing, and new construction rarely keeps pace with demand in fast-growing markets.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Cleveland, the 3.72% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 3.1% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Cleveland Compares

Cleveland vs Tennessee state average and national average across key investment metrics. Cleveland's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Cleveland
Tennessee Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
3.72%
4.12%
3.81%
Median Price
$300K
$297K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,370
$1,419
$1,524
Property Tax
0.65%
0.65%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.7%
5.7%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
1.6%/yr
1.6%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby South Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Cleveland, TN
3.7%
$300K
$1,370
0.65%
Gainesville, FL
4.5%
$300K
$1,630
0.85%
Albemarle, NC
4.1%
$300K
$1,510
0.78%
Pensacola, FL
4.8%
$305K
$1,720
0.79%
Greenville, SC
4.4%
$305K
$1,550
0.55%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Cleveland?
Home values in Cleveland have been appreciating at 3.1% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $300K home would be worth approximately $349K in 5 years.
Is Cleveland a growing city?
Cleveland's population of 50,000 is growing at 1.6% per year. This rapid growth drives housing demand and supports both rent increases and price appreciation.
What is the best investment strategy for Cleveland?
In Cleveland, pure cash flow is tight at 3.72%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Cleveland compare to other South cities?
Among South markets, Cleveland's 3.72% cap rate is below the Tennessee average of 4.12%. Prices at $300K are above the state average of $297K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Cleveland against specific markets.
Full Cleveland Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Cleveland & Related Markets

More Cleveland Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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