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Cap Rate Analysis: Winchester, VA

Investment metrics, interactive calculators, and data-driven analysis for Winchester rental properties.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $380,000 median price and $1,800/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.73%
1% Rule
0.47%
Fails
GRM
17.6x
Price / Income
6.6x

Market Data

Median Home Price$380,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,800
Property Tax Rate0.86%
Population50,000
Population Growth0.7% / yr
Median Household Income$57,250
Vacancy Rate5.2%
Annual Appreciation2.9%

Cap Rate Calculator — Winchester

Pre-filled with Winchester medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.86% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.11%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$11,801
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
17.6x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.47%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$983
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$21,600
Less Vacancy−$1,123
Effective Income$20,477
Less Operating Expenses−$8,676
Net Operating Income$11,801
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Winchester

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Winchester.

$
$95,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-9.18%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$106,400
$95,000 down + $11,400 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,858
on $285K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-814
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-9,768
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,800
Less Expenses−$756
Less Mortgage−$1,858
Monthly Cash Flow$-814

Is Winchester a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Winchester, VA has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at 0.7% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $380,000 paired with median rents of $1,800/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.73%.

Property taxes at 0.86% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 5.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.6x, homes cost about 6.6 times the local median income of $57,250. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.9% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Winchester is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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