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MarketsWyomingJacksonAppreciation & Growth Forecast

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Jackson, WY

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Jackson, WY

Cap Rate
1.57%
Median Price
$1.4M
Rent/Mo
$3,620
1% Rule
0.26%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Jackson, WY have appreciated at 2.4% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Jackson continues appreciating at 2.4% annually, the current median of $1,380,000 would reach approximately $1,553,742 in 5 years — an equity gain of $173,742 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $276,000, that represents a 63% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $108,616, the projected total return is $282,358 — a 102% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Jackson's population growth of 0.8% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Jackson, the 1.57% cap rate provides modest ongoing cash flow, while 2.4% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

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How Jackson Compares

Jackson vs Wyoming state average and national average across key investment metrics. Jackson's cap rate is below both benchmarks — deal sourcing is critical here.

Metric
Jackson
Wyoming Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
1.57%
2.65%
3.81%
Median Price
$1.4M
$477K
$333K
Median Rent
$3,620
$1,560
$1,524
Property Tax
0.61%
0.61%
1.08%
Vacancy
5.2%
5.2%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0.8%/yr
0.8%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby West Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Jackson, WY
1.6%
$1.4M
$3,620
0.61%
Edwards, CO
1.9%
$1.3M
$3,630
0.51%
San Jose, CA
0.9%
$1.6M
$3,430
0.75%
Heber, UT
1.4%
$1.1M
$2,710
0.57%
Santa Cruz, CA
1.9%
$1.1M
$3,360
0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Jackson?
Home values in Jackson have been appreciating at 2.4% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $1.4M home would be worth approximately $1.6M in 5 years.
Is Jackson a growing city?
Jackson's population of 50,000 is growing at 0.8% per year. Moderate growth provides stable demand without overheating.
What is the best investment strategy for Jackson?
In Jackson, pure cash flow is tight at 1.57%. Consider appreciation-focused strategies, house hacking, or targeting below-median properties where rent-to-price ratios are stronger.
How does Jackson compare to other West cities?
Among West markets, Jackson's 1.57% cap rate is below the Wyoming average of 2.65%. Prices at $1.4M are above the state average of $477K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Jackson against specific markets.
Full Jackson Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Jackson & Related Markets

More Jackson Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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