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MarketsCaliforniaSan Francisco

Cap Rate Analysis: San Francisco, CA

Investment metrics, interactive calculators, and data-driven analysis for San Francisco rental properties.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $1,115,000 median price and $3,100/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
1.61%
1% Rule
0.28%
Fails
GRM
30.0x
Price / Income
18.6x

Market Data

Median Home Price$1,115,000
Median Monthly Rent$3,100
Property Tax Rate0.75%
Population50,000
Population Growth0.8% / yr
Median Household Income$60,018
Vacancy Rate5.2%
Annual Appreciation2.8%

Cap Rate Calculator — San Francisco

Pre-filled with San Francisco medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.75% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
1.41%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$15,742
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
30.0x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.28%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$1,312
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$37,200
Less Vacancy−$1,934
Effective Income$35,266
Less Operating Expenses−$19,524
Net Operating Income$15,742
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Cash-on-Cash Return — San Francisco

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in San Francisco.

$
$278,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-14.04%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$312,200
$278,750 down + $33,450 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$5,452
on $836K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-3,654
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-43,845
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$3,100
Less Expenses−$1,302
Less Mortgage−$5,452
Monthly Cash Flow$-3,654

Is San Francisco a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

San Francisco, CA has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at 0.8% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $1,115,000 paired with median rents of $3,100/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 1.61%.

Property taxes at 0.75% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 18.6x, homes cost about 18.6 times the local median income of $60,018. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.8% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, San Francisco is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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