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Tacoma, WA Cap Rate: 1.61% — Rental Property Analysis

Tacoma is the cheaper Puget Sound — close enough to Seattle to absorb cost-of-living refugees, anchored by Joint Base Lewis-McChord just south, and far enough from downtown Seattle that prices have stayed materially below Seattle proper. The 1.61% cap rate at a $740,000 median price keeps the 0.29% rent-to-price ratio meaningfully closer to functional than Seattle, Bellevue, or Olympia. Population growth at 0.6%/yr is steady, helped by both military rotation and Seattle migration.

Employment is anchored by Joint Base Lewis-McChord (one of the largest military installations in the country, with active-duty Army and Air Force personnel plus civilian contractors driving a BAH-supported rental floor), the Port of Tacoma (one of the larger US container ports), MultiCare Health System, the University of Washington Tacoma, the State Farm regional operation, Russell Investments, the Tacoma Public Schools as a large employer, and the broader Puget Sound logistics-and-manufacturing base. Submarkets stratify by proximity to downtown and base: North Tacoma / Old Town and Proctor District are walkable urban-character with premium rents; the Stadium District and 6th Avenue Corridor draw young-professional renters; East Tacoma and parts of South Tacoma offer deeper-value inventory; University Place and Lakewood (closer to JBLM) draw military family rentals.

Washington has no state income tax, materially helping cash flow versus most West Coast markets. Property tax at 0.96% is reasonable, with Pierce County's assessment process broadly fair. Insurance is reasonable. The structural watch-items: Washington landlord-tenant law has shifted toward tenants in recent years (just-cause eviction at the state level, longer notice periods, rent-increase notice rules) — operating in WA requires comfort with the regulatory framework. JBLM personnel turn over with military rotation, so vacancy in proximate submarkets is more cyclical than the headline metro number suggests. For investors who want the Puget Sound thesis without Seattle pricing or Bellevue tax exposure, Tacoma is the under-discussed alternative — particularly attractive for military-tenant-focused operators.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $740,000 median price and $2,180/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
1.61%
1% Rule
0.29%
Fails
GRM
28.3x
Price / Income
12.7x

Market Data

Median Home Price$740,000
Median Monthly Rent$2,180
Property Tax Rate0.96%
Population221,776
Population Growth0.6% / yr
Median Household Income$58,200
Vacancy Rate4.8%
Annual Appreciation2.6%

2026 Market Update: Tacoma

Tacoma's 0.3% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $740,000, the $2,180/mo rent produces only $990/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($148K at 7%) would result in approximately $-2,947/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 27% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Tacoma a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Tacoma

All figures below are computed from Tacoma's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$7,104
Monthly$592
% of Gross Rent27.2%

At 0.96% effective rate on the $740,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $7,104 — that's near national average (-9% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Tacoma continues appreciating at 2.6%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$740K$2,1801.6%
Year 1$759K$2,2451.6%
Year 2$779K$2,3131.6%
Year 3$799K$2,3821.6%
Year 4$820K$2,4541.6%
Year 5$841K$2,5271.6%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Tacoma property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$740K$990$11,8801.6%
20% down conventional @ 7%$170K$-2,947$-35,361-20.8%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$215K$-3,278$-39,335-18.3%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$555K$1,853$10,0631.8%$839
At median$740K$2,180$10,6551.4%$888
Above median (~125% price)$925K$2,507$11,2471.2%$937

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Tacoma's historical appreciation rate of 2.6%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-176,806
Appreciation$101K
Principal Paydown$44K
Total Return$-31,072

On a $148K down payment, that's a -21.0% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Tacoma

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Tacoma, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.29% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.
Worth notingPrice-to-income ratio of 12.7x suggests homeownership is stretched locally — supports rental demand, but limits the buyer pool for any future exit.

Cap Rate Calculator — Tacoma

Pre-filled with Tacoma medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.96% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
1.37%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$10,132
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
28.3x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.29%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$844
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$26,160
Less Vacancy−$1,256
Effective Income$24,904
Less Operating Expenses−$14,772
Net Operating Income$10,132
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Tacoma

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Tacoma.

$
$185,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-13.63%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$207,200
$185,000 down + $22,200 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$3,618
on $555K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-2,354
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-28,250
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$2,180
Less Expenses−$916
Less Mortgage−$3,618
Monthly Cash Flow$-2,354

Is Tacoma a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Tacoma, WA has a population of 221,776 and has been growing at 0.6% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $740,000 paired with median rents of $2,180/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 1.61%.

Property taxes at 0.96% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 4.8% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 12.7x, homes cost about 12.7 times the local median income of $58,200. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.6% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Tacoma is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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