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Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Ogdensburg, NY

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Ogdensburg, NY

Cap Rate
6.24%
Median Price
$135K
Rent/Mo
$1,050
1% Rule
0.78%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Ogdensburg, NY have appreciated at 2.1% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Ogdensburg continues appreciating at 2.1% annually, the current median of $135,000 would reach approximately $149,783 in 5 years — an equity gain of $14,783 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $27,000, that represents a 55% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $42,089, the projected total return is $56,872 — a 211% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Ogdensburg's population is declining at 0% per year, which creates headwinds for appreciation. In declining markets, focus on properties in the strongest neighborhoods with the most resilient demand.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Ogdensburg, the 6.24% cap rate provides strong ongoing cash flow, while 2.1% annual appreciation adds an equity component. The strong cash flow here means your returns are mostly realized as income rather than paper equity — a more conservative and predictable return profile.

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How Ogdensburg Compares

Ogdensburg vs New York state average and national average across key investment metrics. Ogdensburg outperforms both benchmarks on cap rate.

Metric
Ogdensburg
New York Avg
National Avg
Cap Rate
6.24%
4.20%
3.81%
Median Price
$135K
$284K
$333K
Median Rent
$1,050
$1,574
$1,524
Property Tax
1.71%
1.71%
1.08%
Vacancy
6.3%
6.3%
5.6%
Pop. Growth
0%/yr
0%/yr
0.9%/yr

Nearby Northeast Markets

City
Cap Rate
Price
Rent
Tax
Ogdensburg, NY
6.2%
$135K
$1,050
1.71%
DuBois, PA
6.0%
$135K
$980
1.38%
Elmira, NY
6.6%
$150K
$1,220
1.71%
Indiana, PA
4.1%
$155K
$860
1.38%
Johnstown, PA
5.8%
$115K
$810
1.38%

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are home prices rising in Ogdensburg?
Home values in Ogdensburg have been appreciating at 2.1% per year. This is near the national average, providing steady equity growth. At this rate, a $135K home would be worth approximately $150K in 5 years.
Is Ogdensburg a growing city?
Ogdensburg's population of 50,000 is declining at 0% per year. Population decline creates headwinds — focus on the strongest neighborhoods.
What is the best investment strategy for Ogdensburg?
With a 6.24% cap rate and $135K median prices, Ogdensburg is well-suited for buy-and-hold cash flow investing. BRRRR strategies also work well given the affordable price points.
How does Ogdensburg compare to other Northeast cities?
Among Northeast markets, Ogdensburg's 6.24% cap rate exceeds the New York average of 4.20%. Prices at $135K are below the state average of $284K. See our comparison tool to evaluate Ogdensburg against specific markets.
Full Ogdensburg Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

Explore Ogdensburg & Related Markets

More Ogdensburg Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

Similar Markets in the Northeast

Pottsville, PA$155K · $1,160/mo
6.3%
New Castle, PA$155K · $1,140/mo
6.1%
DuBois, PA$135K · $980/mo
6.0%
Corning, NY$160K · $1,280/mo
6.5%
Olean, NY$155K · $1,240/mo
6.5%
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