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Ellensburg, WA Cap Rate: 1.90% — Rental Property Analysis

Ellensburg is a higher-priced market in the West with a small but investable metro of 50,000. At a 1.90% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,520/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $480,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Ellensburg is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $480,000 median price and $1,520/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
1.90%
1% Rule
0.32%
Fails
GRM
26.3x
Price / Income
7.6x

Market Data

Median Home Price$480,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,520
Property Tax Rate0.93%
Population50,000
Population Growth1.1% / yr
Median Household Income$62,750
Vacancy Rate4.6%
Annual Appreciation2.8%

2026 Market Update: Ellensburg

Ellensburg's 0.3% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $480,000, the $1,520/mo rent produces only $758/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($96K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,796/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 24% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Ellensburg a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Ellensburg

Pre-filled with Ellensburg medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.93% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
1.61%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$7,729
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
26.3x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.32%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$644
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$18,240
Less Vacancy−$839
Effective Income$17,401
Less Operating Expenses−$9,672
Net Operating Income$7,729
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Ellensburg

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Ellensburg.

$
$120,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-13.08%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$134,400
$120,000 down + $14,400 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,347
on $360K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,465
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-17,579
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,520
Less Expenses−$638
Less Mortgage−$2,347
Monthly Cash Flow$-1,465

Is Ellensburg a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Ellensburg, WA has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at 1.1% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $480,000 paired with median rents of $1,520/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 1.90%.

Property taxes at 0.93% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 4.6% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 7.6x, homes cost about 7.6 times the local median income of $62,750. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.8% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Ellensburg is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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