CapRateCity · Vol. II No. 32Established 2025775 US Markets Tracked
CapRateCity
An independent investor's notebook on US rental markets.
South · West Virginia · Population 50,000

Bluefield, WV Cap Rate 5.60%

At 5.60%, Bluefield delivers solid cash-flow fundamentals; falls 0.37% short of the 1% rule. Population trending -0.40%/yr — long-horizon underwriting required.
By Jake McEwen·Updated ·Sources: Zillow ZHVI/ZORI, Census, county tax
Bluefield, WV — Bluefield, West Virginia
Bluefield, WV · Photo via Wikimedia Commons (CC-BY-SA / public domain)
Bluefield, WV cap rate 5.60% — median price $140,000, median rent $880/mo, property tax 0.58% — rental property analysis card
Bluefield, WV key rental property metrics at a glance — sources: Zillow ZHVI/ZORI, state/county tax records, U.S. Census.

Bluefield is one of the most affordable markets in the country in the South with a small but investable metro of 50,000. At a 5.60% estimated cap rate, this is a solid market where rents of $880/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $140,000 and the population has been declining, which investors should factor into long-term projections, Bluefield stands out as a market worth serious analysis for rental investors.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $140,000 median price and $880/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
5.60%
1% Rule
0.63%
Fails
GRM
13.3x
Price / Income
3.3x

Market Data

Median Home Price$140,000
Median Monthly Rent$880
Property Tax Rate0.58%
Population50,000
Population Growth-0.4% / yr
Median Household Income$42,200
Vacancy Rate7.5%
Annual Appreciation1.4%

2026 Market Update: Bluefield

Bluefield's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $140,000, the $880/mo rent produces only $653/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($28K at 7%) would result in approximately $-92/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 13.3x gross rent multiplier and 7.5% vacancy rate position Bluefield as a value-oriented market. With annual appreciation at 1.4%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 7.0% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Bluefield

All figures below are computed from Bluefield's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$812
Monthly$68
% of Gross Rent7.7%

At 0.58% effective rate on the $140,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $812 — that's very low (bottom 15% of US markets) (-45% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Bluefield continues appreciating at 1.4%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$140K$8805.6%
Year 1$142K$9065.7%
Year 2$144K$9345.8%
Year 3$146K$9625.9%
Year 4$148K$9906.0%
Year 5$150K$1,0206.1%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Bluefield property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$140K$653$7,8365.6%
20% down conventional @ 7%$32K$-92$-1,102-3.4%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$41K$-154$-1,853-4.6%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$105K$748$5,8385.6%$486
At median$140K$880$6,7064.8%$559
Above median (~125% price)$175K$1,012$7,5754.3%$631

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Bluefield's historical appreciation rate of 1.4%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-5,508
Appreciation$10K
Principal Paydown$8K
Total Return$13K

On a $28K down payment, that's a 46.3% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Bluefield

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Bluefield, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyPopulation is declining at -0.4% per year. Tenant demand erodes over multi-year holds in shrinking metros — underwrite with conservative rent growth (0–1%) and elevated vacancy (8–10%).
Watch closelyVacancy rate of 7.5% is well above the ~6.5% national average. Budget at least 9% vacancy in pro-formas, and plan for longer lease-up periods.

Cap Rate Calculator — Bluefield

Pre-filled with Bluefield medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.58% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
4.64%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$6,492
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
13.3x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.63%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$541
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$10,560
Less Vacancy−$792
Effective Income$9,768
Less Operating Expenses−$3,276
Net Operating Income$6,492
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Bluefield

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Bluefield.

$
$35,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-5.34%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$39,200
$35,000 down + $4,200 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$685
on $105K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-175
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-2,094
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$880
Less Expenses−$370
Less Mortgage−$685
Monthly Cash Flow$-175

Is Bluefield a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Bluefield, WV has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at -0.4% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $140,000 paired with median rents of $880/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 5.60%.

Property taxes at 0.58% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 7.5% runs above average, which increases cash flow volatility and warrants conservative underwriting.

At a price-to-income ratio of 3.3x, homes cost about 3.3 times the local median income of $42,200. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 1.4% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Bluefield presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 5.60% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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