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Dothan, AL Cap Rate: 5.80% — Rental Property Analysis

Dothan is a budget-friendly market in the South with a smaller market with 72,500 residents. At a 5.80% estimated cap rate, this is a solid market where rents of $1,190/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $190,000 and population is roughly stable, Dothan stands out as a market worth serious analysis for rental investors.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $190,000 median price and $1,190/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
5.80%
1% Rule
0.63%
Fails
GRM
13.3x
Price / Income
4.3x

Market Data

Median Home Price$190,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,190
Property Tax Rate0.4%
Population72,500
Population Growth0.3% / yr
Median Household Income$44,200
Vacancy Rate6.8%
Annual Appreciation2%

2026 Market Update: Dothan

Dothan's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $190,000, the $1,190/mo rent produces only $919/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($38K at 7%) would result in approximately $-92/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 13.3x gross rent multiplier and 6.8% vacancy rate position Dothan as a value-oriented market. With annual appreciation at 2%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 7.8% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Dothan

All figures below are computed from Dothan's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$760
Monthly$63
% of Gross Rent5.3%

At 0.4% effective rate on the $190,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $760 — that's very low (bottom 15% of US markets) (-62% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Dothan continues appreciating at 2%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$190K$1,1905.8%
Year 1$194K$1,2265.9%
Year 2$198K$1,2625.9%
Year 3$202K$1,3006.0%
Year 4$206K$1,3396.0%
Year 5$210K$1,3806.1%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Dothan property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$190K$919$11,0295.8%
20% down conventional @ 7%$44K$-92$-1,101-2.5%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$55K$-177$-2,121-3.8%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$143K$1,012$8,2355.8%$686
At median$190K$1,190$9,5045.0%$792
Above median (~125% price)$238K$1,369$10,7824.5%$899

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Dothan's historical appreciation rate of 2%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-5,503
Appreciation$20K
Principal Paydown$11K
Total Return$26K

On a $38K down payment, that's a 67.6% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Dothan

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Dothan, not generic boilerplate:

Worth notingVacancy at 6.8% runs slightly above national average. Conservative underwriting (7% vacancy) recommended.

Cap Rate Calculator — Dothan

Pre-filled with Dothan medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.4% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
4.86%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$9,229
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
13.3x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.63%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$769
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$14,280
Less Vacancy−$971
Effective Income$13,309
Less Operating Expenses−$4,080
Net Operating Income$9,229
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Dothan

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Dothan.

$
$47,500
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-5.39%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$53,200
$47,500 down + $5,700 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$929
on $143K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-239
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-2,868
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,190
Less Expenses−$500
Less Mortgage−$929
Monthly Cash Flow$-239

Is Dothan a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Dothan, AL has a population of 72,500 and has been growing at 0.3% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $190,000 paired with median rents of $1,190/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 5.80%.

Property taxes at 0.4% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 6.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.3x, homes cost about 4.3 times the local median income of $44,200. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Dothan presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 5.80% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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