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Fargo, ND Cap Rate: 2.24% — Rental Property Analysis

Fargo is a mid-range market in the Midwest with a smaller market with 132,000 residents. At a 2.24% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,110/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $315,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Fargo is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $315,000 median price and $1,110/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
2.24%
1% Rule
0.35%
Fails
GRM
23.6x
Price / Income
5.7x

Market Data

Median Home Price$315,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,110
Property Tax Rate0.98%
Population132,000
Population Growth1.5% / yr
Median Household Income$54,800
Vacancy Rate5%
Annual Appreciation2.5%

2026 Market Update: Fargo

Fargo's 0.4% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $315,000, the $1,110/mo rent produces only $587/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($63K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,089/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 23% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Fargo a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Fargo

Pre-filled with Fargo medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.98% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
1.88%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$5,910
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
23.6x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.35%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$493
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$13,320
Less Vacancy−$666
Effective Income$12,654
Less Operating Expenses−$6,744
Net Operating Income$5,910
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Fargo

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Fargo.

$
$78,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-12.19%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$88,200
$78,750 down + $9,450 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,540
on $236K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-896
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-10,754
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,110
Less Expenses−$466
Less Mortgage−$1,540
Monthly Cash Flow$-896

Is Fargo a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Fargo, ND has a population of 132,000 and has been growing at 1.5% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $315,000 paired with median rents of $1,110/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 2.24%.

Property taxes at 0.98% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.7x, homes cost about 5.7 times the local median income of $54,800. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.5% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Fargo is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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