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Jonesboro, AR Cap Rate: 6.12% — Rental Property Analysis

Jonesboro is a budget-friendly market in the South with a smaller market with 82,000 residents. At a 6.12% estimated cap rate, this is a solid market where rents of $1,340/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $200,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Jonesboro stands out as a market worth serious analysis for rental investors.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Strong investment fundamentals
Based on $200,000 median price and $1,340/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
6.12%
1% Rule
0.67%
Fails
GRM
12.4x
Price / Income
4.5x

Market Data

Median Home Price$200,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,340
Property Tax Rate0.62%
Population82,000
Population Growth0.7% / yr
Median Household Income$44,200
Vacancy Rate6.2%
Annual Appreciation2.3%

2026 Market Update: Jonesboro

Jonesboro's 0.7% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $200,000, the $1,340/mo rent produces only $1,020/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($40K at 7%) would result in approximately $-44/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 12.4x gross rent multiplier and 6.2% vacancy rate position Jonesboro as a value-oriented market. With annual appreciation at 2.3%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 8.4% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Jonesboro

All figures below are computed from Jonesboro's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$1,240
Monthly$103
% of Gross Rent7.7%

At 0.62% effective rate on the $200,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $1,240 — that's below national average (-42% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Jonesboro continues appreciating at 2.3%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$200K$1,3406.1%
Year 1$205K$1,3806.2%
Year 2$209K$1,4226.2%
Year 3$214K$1,4646.2%
Year 4$219K$1,5086.3%
Year 5$224K$1,5536.3%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Jonesboro property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$200K$1,020$12,2436.1%
20% down conventional @ 7%$46K$-44$-525-1.1%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$58K$-133$-1,599-2.8%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$150K$1,139$9,1046.1%$759
At median$200K$1,340$10,4705.2%$873
Above median (~125% price)$250K$1,541$11,8374.7%$986

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Jonesboro's historical appreciation rate of 2.3%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-2,625
Appreciation$24K
Principal Paydown$12K
Total Return$33K

On a $40K down payment, that's a 83.6% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Jonesboro

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Jonesboro, not generic boilerplate:

Clean readNo major risk flags surface from the underlying data. That doesn't mean a specific property is risk-free — always check submarket conditions, school district, code-enforcement environment, and neighborhood-level data before underwriting.

Cap Rate Calculator — Jonesboro

Pre-filled with Jonesboro medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.62% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
5.08%Moderate
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$10,151
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
12.4x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.67%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$846
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$16,080
Less Vacancy−$997
Effective Income$15,083
Less Operating Expenses−$4,932
Net Operating Income$10,151
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Jonesboro

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Jonesboro.

$
$50,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-4.30%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$56,000
$50,000 down + $6,000 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$978
on $150K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-201
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-2,411
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,340
Less Expenses−$563
Less Mortgage−$978
Monthly Cash Flow$-201

Is Jonesboro a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Jonesboro, AR has a population of 82,000 and has been growing at 0.7% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $200,000 paired with median rents of $1,340/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 6.12%.

Property taxes at 0.62% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 6.2% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.5x, homes cost about 4.5 times the local median income of $44,200. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Jonesboro offers attractive fundamentals for rental investors. low taxes, and cap rates above 6% put it in the upper tier of investable markets.

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