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Jackson, TN Cap Rate: 6.27% — Rental Property Analysis

Jackson is a budget-friendly market in the South with a smaller market with 68,000 residents. At a 6.27% estimated cap rate, this is a solid market where rents of $1,360/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $200,000 and population is roughly stable, Jackson stands out as a market worth serious analysis for rental investors.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Strong investment fundamentals
Based on $200,000 median price and $1,360/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
6.27%
1% Rule
0.68%
Fails
GRM
12.3x
Price / Income
4.5x

Market Data

Median Home Price$200,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,360
Property Tax Rate0.56%
Population68,000
Population Growth0.4% / yr
Median Household Income$44,200
Vacancy Rate6.5%
Annual Appreciation2.2%

2026 Market Update: Jackson

Jackson's 0.7% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $200,000, the $1,360/mo rent produces only $1,045/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($40K at 7%) would result in approximately $-19/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 12.3x gross rent multiplier and 6.5% vacancy rate position Jackson as a value-oriented market. With annual appreciation at 2.2%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 8.5% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Jackson

All figures below are computed from Jackson's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$1,120
Monthly$93
% of Gross Rent6.9%

At 0.56% effective rate on the $200,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $1,120 — that's very low (bottom 15% of US markets) (-47% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Jackson continues appreciating at 2.2%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$200K$1,3606.3%
Year 1$204K$1,4016.3%
Year 2$209K$1,4436.4%
Year 3$213K$1,4866.4%
Year 4$218K$1,5316.5%
Year 5$223K$1,5776.5%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Jackson property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$200K$1,045$12,5396.3%
20% down conventional @ 7%$46K$-19$-229-0.5%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$58K$-109$-1,303-2.2%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$150K$1,156$9,3116.2%$776
At median$200K$1,360$10,7285.4%$894
Above median (~125% price)$250K$1,564$12,1454.9%$1,012

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Jackson's historical appreciation rate of 2.2%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-1,144
Appreciation$23K
Principal Paydown$12K
Total Return$34K

On a $40K down payment, that's a 84.6% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Jackson

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Jackson, not generic boilerplate:

Clean readNo major risk flags surface from the underlying data. That doesn't mean a specific property is risk-free — always check submarket conditions, school district, code-enforcement environment, and neighborhood-level data before underwriting.

Cap Rate Calculator — Jackson

Pre-filled with Jackson medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.56% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
5.20%Moderate
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$10,399
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
12.3x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.68%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$867
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$16,320
Less Vacancy−$1,061
Effective Income$15,259
Less Operating Expenses−$4,860
Net Operating Income$10,399
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Jackson

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Jackson.

$
$50,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-4.05%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$56,000
$50,000 down + $6,000 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$978
on $150K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-189
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-2,267
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,360
Less Expenses−$571
Less Mortgage−$978
Monthly Cash Flow$-189

Is Jackson a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Jackson, TN has a population of 68,000 and has been growing at 0.4% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $200,000 paired with median rents of $1,360/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 6.27%.

Property taxes at 0.56% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 6.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.5x, homes cost about 4.5 times the local median income of $44,200. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.2% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Jackson offers attractive fundamentals for rental investors. low taxes, and cap rates above 6% put it in the upper tier of investable markets.

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