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San Antonio, TX Cap Rate: 3.13% — Rental Property Analysis

San Antonio is a mid-range market in the South with a major metro of 1,547,253 residents. At a 3.13% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,390/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $275,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, San Antonio is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $275,000 median price and $1,390/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.13%
1% Rule
0.51%
Fails
GRM
16.5x
Price / Income
5.0x

Market Data

Median Home Price$275,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,390
Property Tax Rate1.72%
Population1,547,253
Population Growth1.4% / yr
Median Household Income$55,400
Vacancy Rate6.8%
Annual Appreciation2.5%

2026 Market Update: San Antonio

San Antonio's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $275,000, the $1,390/mo rent produces only $718/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($55K at 7%) would result in approximately $-745/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 28% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes San Antonio a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — San Antonio

Pre-filled with San Antonio medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.72% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.44%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$6,714
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
16.5x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.51%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$559
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$16,680
Less Vacancy−$1,134
Effective Income$15,546
Less Operating Expenses−$8,832
Net Operating Income$6,714
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Cash-on-Cash Return — San Antonio

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in San Antonio.

$
$68,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-8.39%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$77,000
$68,750 down + $8,250 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,345
on $206K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-539
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-6,463
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,390
Less Expenses−$584
Less Mortgage−$1,345
Monthly Cash Flow$-539

Is San Antonio a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

San Antonio, TX has a population of 1,547,253 and has been growing at 1.4% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $275,000 paired with median rents of $1,390/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.13%.

Property taxes at 1.72% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 6.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.0x, homes cost about 5.0 times the local median income of $55,400. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.5% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, San Antonio is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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