CapRateCity · Vol. II No. 32Established 2025775 US Markets Tracked
CapRateCity
An independent investor's notebook on US rental markets.
Northeast · Pennsylvania · Population 50,000

East Stroudsburg, PA Cap Rate 4.78%

East Stroudsburg's 4.78% cap rate is moderate — deal selection matters; falls 0.38% short of the 1% rule. Median price $300,000, rent $1,850/mo.
By Jake McEwen·Updated ·Sources: Zillow ZHVI/ZORI, Census, county tax
East Stroudsburg, PA — East Stroudsburg, Pennsylvania
East Stroudsburg, PA · Photo via Wikimedia Commons (CC-BY-SA / public domain)
East Stroudsburg, PA cap rate 4.78% — median price $300,000, median rent $1,850/mo, property tax 1.38% — rental property analysis card
East Stroudsburg, PA key rental property metrics at a glance — sources: Zillow ZHVI/ZORI, state/county tax records, U.S. Census.

East Stroudsburg is a mid-range market in the Northeast with a small but investable metro of 50,000. At a 4.78% estimated cap rate, this is a moderate market where rents of $1,850/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $300,000 and population is roughly stable, East Stroudsburg offers opportunities for investors who source deals carefully.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $300,000 median price and $1,850/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.78%
1% Rule
0.62%
Fails
GRM
13.5x
Price / Income
6.3x

Market Data

Median Home Price$300,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,850
Property Tax Rate1.38%
Population50,000
Population Growth0.2% / yr
Median Household Income$47,800
Vacancy Rate6%
Annual Appreciation2.3%

2026 Market Update: East Stroudsburg

East Stroudsburg's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $300,000, the $1,850/mo rent produces only $1,194/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($60K at 7%) would result in approximately $-402/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 19% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes East Stroudsburg a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for East Stroudsburg

All figures below are computed from East Stroudsburg's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$4,140
Monthly$345
% of Gross Rent18.6%

At 1.38% effective rate on the $300,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $4,140 — that's above national average (+30% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If East Stroudsburg continues appreciating at 2.3%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$300K$1,8504.8%
Year 1$307K$1,9064.8%
Year 2$314K$1,9634.8%
Year 3$321K$2,0224.9%
Year 4$329K$2,0824.9%
Year 5$336K$2,1454.9%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced East Stroudsburg property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$300K$1,194$14,3284.8%
20% down conventional @ 7%$69K$-402$-4,824-7.0%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$87K$-536$-6,435-7.4%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$225K$1,573$10,7184.8%$893
At median$300K$1,850$11,9764.0%$998
Above median (~125% price)$375K$2,128$13,2433.5%$1,104

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at East Stroudsburg's historical appreciation rate of 2.3%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-24,120
Appreciation$36K
Principal Paydown$18K
Total Return$30K

On a $60K down payment, that's a 50.0% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to East Stroudsburg

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to East Stroudsburg, not generic boilerplate:

Worth notingProperty tax rate of 1.38% is above national average. Verify the assessed value before purchase — sale-triggered reassessments can push your actual bill up.
Worth notingPrice-to-income ratio of 6.3x suggests homeownership is stretched locally — supports rental demand, but limits the buyer pool for any future exit.

Cap Rate Calculator — East Stroudsburg

Pre-filled with East Stroudsburg medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.38% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.84%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$11,532
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
13.5x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.62%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$961
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$22,200
Less Vacancy−$1,332
Effective Income$20,868
Less Operating Expenses−$9,336
Net Operating Income$11,532
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Cash-on-Cash Return — East Stroudsburg

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in East Stroudsburg.

$
$75,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-5.63%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$84,000
$75,000 down + $9,000 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,467
on $225K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-394
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-4,726
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,850
Less Expenses−$777
Less Mortgage−$1,467
Monthly Cash Flow$-394

Is East Stroudsburg a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

East Stroudsburg, PA has a population of 50,000 and has been growing at 0.2% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $300,000 paired with median rents of $1,850/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.78%.

Property taxes at 1.38% fall within the national average range and shouldn't present unusual challenges. The vacancy rate of 6% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.3x, homes cost about 6.3 times the local median income of $47,800. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: East Stroudsburg presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.78% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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