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MarketsMichiganFlint

Flint, MI Cap Rate: 4.05% — Rental Property Analysis

Flint is a budget-friendly market in the Midwest with a smaller market with 97,000 residents. At a 4.05% estimated cap rate, this is a moderate market where rents of $1,070/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $185,000 and the population has been declining, which investors should factor into long-term projections, Flint offers opportunities for investors who source deals carefully.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $185,000 median price and $1,070/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.05%
1% Rule
0.58%
Fails
GRM
14.4x
Price / Income
6.1x

Market Data

Median Home Price$185,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,070
Property Tax Rate1.52%
Population97,000
Population Growth-0.5% / yr
Median Household Income$30,200
Vacancy Rate8.2%
Annual Appreciation1.5%

2026 Market Update: Flint

Flint's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $185,000, the $1,070/mo rent produces only $625/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($37K at 7%) would result in approximately $-359/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 22% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Flint a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Flint

All figures below are computed from Flint's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$2,812
Monthly$234
% of Gross Rent21.9%

At 1.52% effective rate on the $185,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $2,812 — that's above national average (+43% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Flint continues appreciating at 1.5%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$185K$1,0704.1%
Year 1$188K$1,1024.1%
Year 2$191K$1,1354.2%
Year 3$193K$1,1694.2%
Year 4$196K$1,2044.3%
Year 5$199K$1,2404.4%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Flint property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$185K$625$7,4954.1%
20% down conventional @ 7%$43K$-360$-4,315-10.1%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$54K$-442$-5,309-9.9%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$139K$910$5,6134.0%$468
At median$185K$1,070$6,1813.3%$515
Above median (~125% price)$231K$1,231$6,7572.9%$563

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Flint's historical appreciation rate of 1.5%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-21,576
Appreciation$14K
Principal Paydown$11K
Total Return$4K

On a $37K down payment, that's a 10.3% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Flint

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Flint, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyPopulation is declining at -0.5% per year. Tenant demand erodes over multi-year holds in shrinking metros — underwrite with conservative rent growth (0–1%) and elevated vacancy (8–10%).
Watch closelyVacancy rate of 8.2% is well above the ~6.5% national average. Budget at least 10% vacancy in pro-formas, and plan for longer lease-up periods.
Watch closelyProperty tax rate of 1.52% is among the highest in the country. Taxes consume a meaningful share of gross rent — see the tax breakdown above. Stress-test for assessment increases.
Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.58% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.
Worth notingPrice-to-income ratio of 6.1x suggests homeownership is stretched locally — supports rental demand, but limits the buyer pool for any future exit.

Cap Rate Calculator — Flint

Pre-filled with Flint medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.52% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.20%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$5,919
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
14.4x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.58%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$493
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$12,840
Less Vacancy−$1,053
Effective Income$11,787
Less Operating Expenses−$5,868
Net Operating Income$5,919
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Flint

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Flint.

$
$46,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-6.57%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$51,800
$46,250 down + $5,550 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$905
on $139K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-284
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-3,403
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,070
Less Expenses−$449
Less Mortgage−$905
Monthly Cash Flow$-284

Is Flint a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Flint, MI has a population of 97,000 and has been growing at -0.5% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $185,000 paired with median rents of $1,070/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.05%.

Property taxes at 1.52% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 8.2% runs above average, which increases cash flow volatility and warrants conservative underwriting.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.1x, homes cost about 6.1 times the local median income of $30,200. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 1.5% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Flint presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.05% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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