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Killeen, TX Cap Rate: 3.43% — Rental Property Analysis

Killeen is a mid-range market in the South with a mid-sized city of 160,200. At a 3.43% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,320/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $250,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Killeen is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $250,000 median price and $1,320/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.43%
1% Rule
0.53%
Fails
GRM
15.8x
Price / Income
5.1x

Market Data

Median Home Price$250,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,320
Property Tax Rate1.68%
Population160,200
Population Growth1.2% / yr
Median Household Income$48,600
Vacancy Rate6.8%
Annual Appreciation2.4%

2026 Market Update: Killeen

Killeen's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $250,000, the $1,320/mo rent produces only $714/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($50K at 7%) would result in approximately $-616/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 27% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Killeen a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Killeen

Pre-filled with Killeen medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.68% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.68%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$6,711
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
15.8x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.53%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$559
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$15,840
Less Vacancy−$1,077
Effective Income$14,763
Less Operating Expenses−$8,052
Net Operating Income$6,711
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Killeen

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Killeen.

$
$62,500
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-7.82%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$70,000
$62,500 down + $7,500 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,222
on $188K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-456
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-5,476
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,320
Less Expenses−$554
Less Mortgage−$1,222
Monthly Cash Flow$-456

Is Killeen a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Killeen, TX has a population of 160,200 and has been growing at 1.2% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $250,000 paired with median rents of $1,320/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.43%.

Property taxes at 1.68% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 6.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.1x, homes cost about 5.1 times the local median income of $48,600. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.4% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Killeen is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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