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Pueblo, CO Cap Rate: 3.83% — Rental Property Analysis

Pueblo is a mid-range market in the West with a smaller market with 112,000 residents. At a 3.83% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,300/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $285,000 and population is roughly stable, Pueblo is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $285,000 median price and $1,300/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.83%
1% Rule
0.46%
Fails
GRM
18.3x
Price / Income
6.7x

Market Data

Median Home Price$285,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,300
Property Tax Rate0.53%
Population112,000
Population Growth0.5% / yr
Median Household Income$42,800
Vacancy Rate5.8%
Annual Appreciation2.5%

2026 Market Update: Pueblo

Pueblo's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $285,000, the $1,300/mo rent produces only $909/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($57K at 7%) would result in approximately $-607/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 18.3x gross rent multiplier and 5.8% vacancy rate position Pueblo as a growth-dependent market. With annual appreciation at 2.5%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 6.3% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Pueblo

All figures below are computed from Pueblo's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$1,511
Monthly$126
% of Gross Rent9.7%

At 0.53% effective rate on the $285,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $1,511 — that's very low (bottom 15% of US markets) (-50% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Pueblo continues appreciating at 2.5%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$285K$1,3003.8%
Year 1$292K$1,3393.8%
Year 2$299K$1,3793.9%
Year 3$307K$1,4213.9%
Year 4$315K$1,4633.9%
Year 5$322K$1,5073.9%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Pueblo property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$285K$909$10,9053.8%
20% down conventional @ 7%$66K$-607$-7,290-11.1%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$83K$-735$-8,820-10.7%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$214K$1,105$8,3813.9%$698
At median$285K$1,300$9,5493.4%$796
Above median (~125% price)$356K$1,495$10,7163.0%$893

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Pueblo's historical appreciation rate of 2.5%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-36,448
Appreciation$37K
Principal Paydown$17K
Total Return$18K

On a $57K down payment, that's a 31.8% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Pueblo

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Pueblo, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.46% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.
Worth notingPrice-to-income ratio of 6.7x suggests homeownership is stretched locally — supports rental demand, but limits the buyer pool for any future exit.

Cap Rate Calculator — Pueblo

Pre-filled with Pueblo medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.53% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.24%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$9,235
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
18.3x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.46%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$770
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$15,600
Less Vacancy−$905
Effective Income$14,695
Less Operating Expenses−$5,460
Net Operating Income$9,235
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Pueblo

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Pueblo.

$
$71,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-9.62%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$79,800
$71,250 down + $8,550 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,393
on $214K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-639
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-7,674
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,300
Less Expenses−$546
Less Mortgage−$1,393
Monthly Cash Flow$-639

Is Pueblo a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Pueblo, CO has a population of 112,000 and has been growing at 0.5% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $285,000 paired with median rents of $1,300/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.83%.

Property taxes at 0.53% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 6.7x, homes cost about 6.7 times the local median income of $42,800. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.5% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Pueblo is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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