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Billings, MT Cap Rate: 2.34% — Rental Property Analysis

Billings is a higher-priced market in the West with a smaller market with 121,000 residents. At a 2.34% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,360/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $400,000 and steady population growth supports long-term rental demand, Billings is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $400,000 median price and $1,360/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
2.34%
1% Rule
0.34%
Fails
GRM
24.5x
Price / Income
7.0x

Market Data

Median Home Price$400,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,360
Property Tax Rate0.74%
Population121,000
Population Growth1% / yr
Median Household Income$56,800
Vacancy Rate4.8%
Annual Appreciation2.6%

2026 Market Update: Billings

Billings's 0.3% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $400,000, the $1,360/mo rent produces only $781/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($80K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,347/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 18% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Billings a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Billings

Pre-filled with Billings medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.74% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.01%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$8,037
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
24.5x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.34%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$670
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$16,320
Less Vacancy−$783
Effective Income$15,537
Less Operating Expenses−$7,500
Net Operating Income$8,037
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Billings

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Billings.

$
$100,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-12.50%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$112,000
$100,000 down + $12,000 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,956
on $300K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,167
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-14,001
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,360
Less Expenses−$571
Less Mortgage−$1,956
Monthly Cash Flow$-1,167

Is Billings a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Billings, MT has a population of 121,000 and has been growing at 1% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $400,000 paired with median rents of $1,360/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 2.34%.

Property taxes at 0.74% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 4.8% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 7.0x, homes cost about 7.0 times the local median income of $56,800. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.6% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Billings is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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