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Cap Rate Analysis: Provo, UT

Investment metrics, interactive calculators, and data-driven analysis for Provo rental properties.

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $420,000 median price and $1,580/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
2.98%
1% Rule
0.38%
Fails
GRM
22.2x
Price / Income
8.0x

Market Data

Median Home Price$420,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,580
Property Tax Rate0.56%
Population116,288
Population Growth1.8% / yr
Median Household Income$52,400
Vacancy Rate3.8%
Annual Appreciation2.8%

Cap Rate Calculator — Provo

Pre-filled with Provo medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.56% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.57%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$10,800
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
22.2x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.38%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$900
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$18,960
Less Vacancy−$720
Effective Income$18,240
Less Operating Expenses−$7,440
Net Operating Income$10,800

Cash-on-Cash Return — Provo

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Provo.

$
$105,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-11.61%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$117,600
$105,000 down + $12,600 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,054
on $315K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,138
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-13,651
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,580
Less Expenses−$664
Less Mortgage−$2,054
Monthly Cash Flow$-1,138

Is Provo a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Provo, UT has a population of 116,288 and has been growing at 1.8% annually — above the national average, suggesting steady demand pressure on housing. The median home price of $420,000 paired with median rents of $1,580/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 2.98%.

Property taxes at 0.56% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 3.8% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 8.0x, homes cost about 8.0 times the local median income of $52,400. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.8% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Provo is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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