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Bloomington, IL Cap Rate: 3.21% — Rental Property Analysis

Bloomington is a mid-range market in the Midwest with a smaller market with 77,000 residents. At a 3.21% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,330/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $250,000 and population is roughly stable, Bloomington is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $250,000 median price and $1,330/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
3.21%
1% Rule
0.53%
Fails
GRM
15.7x
Price / Income
4.0x

Market Data

Median Home Price$250,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,330
Property Tax Rate2.02%
Population77,000
Population Growth0.3% / yr
Median Household Income$62,400
Vacancy Rate5.5%
Annual Appreciation2.2%

2026 Market Update: Bloomington

Bloomington's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $250,000, the $1,330/mo rent produces only $669/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($50K at 7%) would result in approximately $-661/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 32% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Bloomington a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Bloomington

All figures below are computed from Bloomington's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$5,050
Monthly$421
% of Gross Rent31.6%

At 2.02% effective rate on the $250,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $5,050 — that's very high (top 15% of US markets) (+91% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Bloomington continues appreciating at 2.2%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$250K$1,3303.2%
Year 1$256K$1,3703.2%
Year 2$261K$1,4113.3%
Year 3$267K$1,4533.3%
Year 4$273K$1,4973.3%
Year 5$279K$1,5423.3%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Bloomington property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$250K$669$8,0323.2%
20% down conventional @ 7%$58K$-661$-7,928-13.8%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$73K$-773$-9,270-12.8%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$188K$1,131$6,1173.3%$510
At median$250K$1,330$6,4792.6%$540
Above median (~125% price)$313K$1,529$6,8412.2%$570

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Bloomington's historical appreciation rate of 2.2%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-39,639
Appreciation$29K
Principal Paydown$15K
Total Return$4K

On a $50K down payment, that's a 8.2% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Bloomington

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Bloomington, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyProperty tax rate of 2.02% is among the highest in the country. Taxes consume a meaningful share of gross rent — see the tax breakdown above. Stress-test for assessment increases.
Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.53% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.

Cap Rate Calculator — Bloomington

Pre-filled with Bloomington medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
2.02% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
2.47%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$6,166
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
15.7x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.53%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$514
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$15,960
Less Vacancy−$878
Effective Income$15,082
Less Operating Expenses−$8,916
Net Operating Income$6,166
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Bloomington

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Bloomington.

$
$62,500
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-7.74%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$70,000
$62,500 down + $7,500 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,222
on $188K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-451
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-5,416
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,330
Less Expenses−$559
Less Mortgage−$1,222
Monthly Cash Flow$-451

Is Bloomington a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Bloomington, IL has a population of 77,000 and has been growing at 0.3% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $250,000 paired with median rents of $1,330/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 3.21%.

Property taxes at 2.02% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 5.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 4.0x, homes cost about 4.0 times the local median income of $62,400. This relatively affordable ratio suggests a deep pool of renters who find buying out of reach, supporting rental demand. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.2% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Bloomington is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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