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Wilmington, DE Cap Rate: 4.25% — Rental Property Analysis

Wilmington is a higher-priced market in the Northeast with a smaller market with 71,442 residents. At a 4.25% estimated cap rate, this is a moderate market where rents of $1,860/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $375,000 and population is roughly stable, Wilmington offers opportunities for investors who source deals carefully.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $375,000 median price and $1,860/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.25%
1% Rule
0.50%
Fails
GRM
16.8x
Price / Income
8.0x

Market Data

Median Home Price$375,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,860
Property Tax Rate0.56%
Population71,442
Population Growth0.2% / yr
Median Household Income$46,800
Vacancy Rate5.8%
Annual Appreciation2.4%

2026 Market Update: Wilmington

Wilmington's 0.5% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $375,000, the $1,860/mo rent produces only $1,327/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($75K at 7%) would result in approximately $-668/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

The 16.8x gross rent multiplier and 5.8% vacancy rate position Wilmington as a balanced market. With annual appreciation at 2.4%, total returns (cash flow + equity growth) run approximately 6.6% before financing leverage.

Deal Modeling & Scenarios for Wilmington

All figures below are computed from Wilmington's real market medians. Use them as a baseline; override with property-specific numbers in the calculators.

Property Tax Bill in Real Dollars

Annual$2,100
Monthly$175
% of Gross Rent9.4%

At 0.56% effective rate on the $375,000 median price, the annual tax bill is $2,100 — that's very low (bottom 15% of US markets) (-47% vs the national average of ~1.06%). Verify the actual assessed value before purchase; sale-triggered reassessments can push the bill higher than the seller's current statement.

5-Year Cap Rate Trajectory

If Wilmington continues appreciating at 2.4%/yr while rents grow at a conservative 3%/yr, cap rate holds roughly steady as price growth outpaces rent. Year-by-year projection at the median:

YearEst. PriceEst. Rent/MoCap Rate
Today$375K$1,8604.2%
Year 1$384K$1,9164.3%
Year 2$393K$1,9734.3%
Year 3$403K$2,0324.3%
Year 4$412K$2,0934.3%
Year 5$422K$2,1564.4%

Three Financing Scenarios

Same median-priced Wilmington property — different capital structures. All-cash maximizes cap rate. Leverage trades cash flow for higher cash-on-cash return when the spread between cap rate and borrowing cost is positive.

ScenarioCash InvestedMonthly Cash FlowAnnual CFCash-on-Cash
All cash$375K$1,327$15,9254.2%
20% down conventional @ 7%$86K$-668$-8,015-9.3%
25% down DSCR @ 8.5%$109K$-836$-10,028-9.2%

Three Price Tiers: Below, At, and Above the Median

Properties don't always trade at the median. Lower-priced units typically offer higher cap rates but harder operations; higher-priced properties tend to compress cap rates while attracting better tenants. All-cash assumptions below:

TierPriceRent/MoNOI/YrCap RateMonthly CF
Below median (~75% price)$281K$1,581$12,1364.3%$1,011
At median$375K$1,860$13,8543.7%$1,155
Above median (~125% price)$469K$2,139$15,5723.3%$1,298

Total Return Over a 5-Year Hold

Cap rate is just one piece. Real estate returns come from four sources: cash flow, appreciation, principal paydown, and tax benefits. Assuming 20% down conventional financing at 7% and a 5-year hold at Wilmington's historical appreciation rate of 2.4%:

Cash Flow (5yr)$-40,073
Appreciation$47K
Principal Paydown$23K
Total Return$30K

On a $75K down payment, that's a 39.5% total ROI over 5 years (not annualized). Tax benefits from depreciation are additional and depend on your personal tax bracket.

Risk Flags Specific to Wilmington

Automated checks against the underlying data — surface only the risks that actually apply to Wilmington, not generic boilerplate:

Watch closelyRent-to-price ratio of 0.50% is well below the 1% rule. Achieving positive cash flow at median prices requires below-market purchases, larger down payments, or value-add strategies.
Worth notingPrice-to-income ratio of 8.0x suggests homeownership is stretched locally — supports rental demand, but limits the buyer pool for any future exit.

Cap Rate Calculator — Wilmington

Pre-filled with Wilmington medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
0.56% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.57%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$13,405
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
16.8x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.50%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$1,117
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$22,320
Less Vacancy−$1,295
Effective Income$21,025
Less Operating Expenses−$7,620
Net Operating Income$13,405
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Wilmington

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Wilmington.

$
$93,750
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-8.62%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$105,000
$93,750 down + $11,250 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,834
on $281K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-755
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-9,054
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,860
Less Expenses−$781
Less Mortgage−$1,834
Monthly Cash Flow$-755

Is Wilmington a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Wilmington, DE has a population of 71,442 and has been growing at 0.2% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $375,000 paired with median rents of $1,860/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.25%.

Property taxes at 0.56% are well below the national average of ~1.1%, providing a meaningful cash flow advantage many investors overlook. The vacancy rate of 5.8% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 8.0x, homes cost about 8.0 times the local median income of $46,800. This elevated ratio means homeownership is stretched, supporting rental demand but limiting buyer pools. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.4% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Wilmington presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.25% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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