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Broken Arrow, OK

Appreciation & Growth Forecast: Broken Arrow, OK

Updated 2026 · Based on median market data for Broken Arrow, OK

Cap Rate
4.22%
Median Price
$255K
Rent/Mo
$1,320
1% Rule
0.52%
Fails

Historical Appreciation

Home values in Broken Arrow, OK have appreciated at 2.6% per year. Appreciation is modest, meaning total returns will be driven primarily by cash flow rather than equity gains. This is actually preferred by many investors who want predictable, income-based returns.

5-Year Price Projection

If Broken Arrow continues appreciating at 2.6% annually, the current median of $255,000 would reach approximately $289,919 in 5 years — an equity gain of $34,919 on a property purchased at the median. With a 20% down payment of $51,000, that represents a 68% return on invested equity from appreciation alone. Combined with 5 years of NOI totaling approximately $53,820, the projected total return is $88,739 — a 174% cumulative return on the initial investment.

Growth Drivers

Broken Arrow's population growth of 1.2% is moderate and positive, supporting steady but not explosive demand for housing. Markets with this growth profile tend to appreciate consistently without the boom-bust cycles of hyper-growth metros. Higher-than-average local incomes ($68,200) support continued price growth as more residents can afford to bid up properties.

Total Return Analysis

Smart investors evaluate both cash flow AND appreciation. In Broken Arrow, the 4.22% cap rate provides moderate ongoing cash flow, while 2.6% annual appreciation adds an equity component. Conservative underwriting is essential. Focus on deals where the cash flow stands on its own, and treat any appreciation as a bonus.

Full Broken Arrow Analysis →Cap Rate CalculatorBRRRR Calculator

More Broken Arrow Guides

Rental Property Investment GuideRent AnalysisProperty Tax GuideCost of Living & AffordabilityNeighborhood Investment Guide

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