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Aurora, IL Cap Rate: 4.25% — Rental Property Analysis

Aurora is a mid-range market in the Midwest with a mid-sized city of 180,542. At a 4.25% estimated cap rate, this is a moderate market where rents of $2,130/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $340,000 and population is roughly stable, Aurora offers opportunities for investors who source deals carefully.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Moderate — source deals carefully
Based on $340,000 median price and $2,130/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
4.25%
1% Rule
0.63%
Fails
GRM
13.3x
Price / Income
5.3x

Market Data

Median Home Price$340,000
Median Monthly Rent$2,130
Property Tax Rate2.05%
Population180,542
Population Growth0.3% / yr
Median Household Income$64,200
Vacancy Rate5.5%
Annual Appreciation2.3%

2026 Market Update: Aurora

Aurora's 0.6% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $340,000, the $2,130/mo rent produces only $1,205/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($68K at 7%) would result in approximately $-604/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 27% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Aurora a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Aurora

Pre-filled with Aurora medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
2.05% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
3.30%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$11,230
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
13.3x
Good (<15)
1% Rule
0.63%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$936
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$25,560
Less Vacancy−$1,406
Effective Income$24,154
Less Operating Expenses−$12,924
Net Operating Income$11,230
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Aurora

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Aurora.

$
$85,000
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-5.39%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$95,200
$85,000 down + $10,200 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$1,662
on $255K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-427
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-5,129
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$2,130
Less Expenses−$895
Less Mortgage−$1,662
Monthly Cash Flow$-427

Is Aurora a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Aurora, IL has a population of 180,542 and has been growing at 0.3% annually — roughly in line with national trends, meaning demand is stable but not exceptional. The median home price of $340,000 paired with median rents of $2,130/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 4.25%.

Property taxes at 2.05% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 5.5% is moderate and within normal parameters for a healthy rental market.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.3x, homes cost about 5.3 times the local median income of $64,200. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 2.3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: Aurora presents moderate opportunities. Cap rates near 4.25% mean deals need careful sourcing — look for value-add rehabs or emerging neighborhoods where rents are climbing.

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