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Round Rock, TX Cap Rate: 1.65% — Rental Property Analysis

Round Rock is a higher-priced market in the South with a smaller market with 138,000 residents. At a 1.65% estimated cap rate, this is a appreciation-focused market where rents of $1,560/mo lag behind home prices. With a median home price of $425,000 and rapid population growth is driving housing demand, Round Rock is primarily an appreciation play that requires creative strategies to generate positive cash flow.

Market data powered by Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) · Updated Feb 2026

Challenging for pure cash flow
Based on $425,000 median price and $1,560/mo median rent
Est. Cap Rate
1.65%
1% Rule
0.37%
Fails
GRM
22.7x
Price / Income
5.2x

Market Data

Median Home Price$425,000
Median Monthly Rent$1,560
Property Tax Rate1.74%
Population138,000
Population Growth3.1% / yr
Median Household Income$82,400
Vacancy Rate4.8%
Annual Appreciation3%

2026 Market Update: Round Rock

Round Rock's 0.4% rent-to-price ratio is well below the 1% rule. At median prices of $425,000, the $1,560/mo rent produces only $586/mo in NOI. Investors here need to target below-median properties or pursue value-add strategies to make the numbers work.

At current rates, a 20% down conventional loan ($85K at 7%) would result in approximately $-1,675/mo cash flow — negative at median prices. Larger down payments, seller financing, or buying 15–25% below median are strategies to turn the numbers positive.

Property taxes consume 40% of gross rent here — one of the highest ratios in our dataset. This significantly compresses margins and makes Round Rock a market where tax-conscious underwriting is essential. Every deal should be stress-tested with potential assessment increases.

Cap Rate Calculator — Round Rock

Pre-filled with Round Rock medians. Adjust to match a specific property.

Property Details
$
$
3–8% typical
%
Monthly Expenses
1.74% rate
$
$
8–10% of rent
$
8–12% of rent
$
Cap Rate
1.26%Low
Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price
NOI / Year
$5,353
net operating income
Gross Rent Multiplier
22.7x
High (>15)
1% Rule
0.37%
✗ Fails
Monthly Cash Flow
$446
before debt service
Annual Breakdown
Gross Rental Income$18,720
Less Vacancy−$899
Effective Income$17,821
Less Operating Expenses−$12,468
Net Operating Income$5,353
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Cash-on-Cash Return — Round Rock

Factor in financing to see your actual return on invested capital in Round Rock.

$
$106,250
%
%
years
$
taxes + ins + maint + mgmt
$
$
Cash-on-Cash Return
-11.83%Weak
Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested
Total Cash Invested
$119,000
$106,250 down + $12,750 closing
Monthly Mortgage
$2,078
on $319K loan
Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,173
after all expenses
Annual Cash Flow
$-14,076
before taxes
Cash Flow Breakdown
Monthly Rent$1,560
Less Expenses−$655
Less Mortgage−$2,078
Monthly Cash Flow$-1,173

Is Round Rock a Good Place to Invest in Rental Property?

Round Rock, TX has a population of 138,000 and has been growing at 3.1% annually — well above the national average, signaling strong housing demand from population inflows. The median home price of $425,000 paired with median rents of $1,560/mo produces an estimated cap rate of 1.65%.

Property taxes at 1.74% are notably high and represent a significant drag on cash flow — model this expense carefully, as it can make or break a deal. The vacancy rate of 4.8% is impressively low, indicating tight rental supply and strong tenant demand — favorable for landlords.

At a price-to-income ratio of 5.2x, homes cost about 5.2 times the local median income of $82,400. This moderate ratio indicates a balanced rent-vs-buy market. Home values have appreciated at roughly 3% annually. Steady appreciation means total returns will be primarily cash flow-driven — the more sustainable model for long-term wealth building.

Bottom line: At current median prices, Round Rock is challenging for pure cash flow investing. Consider BRRRR strategies with below-market purchases, or look at neighboring metros with stronger price-to-rent ratios.

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